With the current Tight End landscape out there in fantasy football, I will be covering a few TEs that are likely un-owned in your league. To start this rabbit chase, I am going to attempt to sell you on Dawson Knox. Dawson was never on my radar until he caught his first TD of the season in week 3 for the Bills. He also had a long catch-and-run prior to that TD, which also caught my eye.
Just look at this monster of a man:
What we know:
What I think:
Looking at the 3-0 Bills I am intrigued. Mind you, they started with a Patriots like schedule. Jets, Giants and Bengals. Looking at their roster they have a small group of WRs that are not ideal redzone targets. John Brown has looked good, but is 5’ 11” and is more of a deep threat. Cole Beasley is 5’ 8” and your typical slot receiver. Zay Jones is 6’ 2” and has had his time to show he is a capable receiver... spoiler, he is not.
The Bills have been in favorable game plans to focus on their rushing game with Singletary/Gore/Allen leading the charge. The match-up this week against the Patriots will be the first time the Bills will need to put up points in droves to stay alive. Knox should see a few opportunities to stretch the field and potentially get into the end-zone. He’s an agile TE with great hands. He can line up inline or flexed out and should be getting more snaps as his coaches have been praising him for his blocking skills as well.
Happy hunting and good luck this weekend!
Welcome back to the Rookie Report! We’re another week deeper into the season and finally starting to get into the bye weeks where things can get a little dicey for your squads if you don’t have great depth. I wouldn’t expect to find much running back help from the rookie crop this week with David Montgomery, Josh Jacobs and Devin Singletary all on byes. Jacobs did put on a show across the pond on Sunday though. Week 5 also saw Kyler Murray get his first win, saw DK Metcalf and Marquise Brown each get back in the end zone, and saw another outstanding performance from Gardner Minshew albeit in a loss. The rookie running backs might have a bleak outlook this week, but there are plenty of other rookies to talk about. Let’s talk about what we can look forward to in week 6 from the rookie crop…
Rookies to Start:
QB Kyler Murray, ARI (Wk. 6: vs. Atl.): The Falcons’ defense has really struggled this year, especially since Keanu Neal went down late in the first half of their week 3 game. They rank 30th in Football Outsiders’ pass defense DVOA stat and in the last 3 weeks they’ve allowed 963 passing yards and a 10:0 TD to INT ratio. They also allowed Marcus Mariota and Deshaun Watson to combine for 69 rushing yards (nice) in the last 2 weeks. Murray has started to use his legs as an asset, racking up 189 yards and 2 scores on the ground in his last 3 games. He may also get Christian Kirk back this week. The TDs will eventually come for Kyler. The Cardinals are tied for 4th in the NFL with an average of 4 red zone trips per game. I expect Murray to be a top-8 QB this week.
WR Terry McLaurin, WAS (Wk. 6: @Mia.): Don’t be concerned about the coaching change in Washington when it comes to McLaurin. Offensive coordinator Bill Callahan is the guy taking over, so things shouldn’t change much. Former head coach Jay Gruden had a lot of control over the offense previously, so I would expect Callahan to put his own wrinkles in (most notably he’s talked about wanting to run more), but it should remain largely the same offense. The better news for McLaurin this week is that he should get Case Keenum back at QB. Keenum is much more willing to throw downfield than Colt McCoy. McLaurin also goes from facing the best defense in the league to one of the worst. Miami has been shredded by opposing WR1s so far, so McLaurin should be a safe WR3 in your lineups this week.
WR Marquise Brown, BAL (Wk. 6: vs. Cin.): Keep an eye on the injury report this week. Head coach John Harbaugh said Brown’s injury is nothing serious, but he isn’t practicing yet as of Thursday. If he does play and it sounds like he’ll be close to 100%, get him in your lineup. The Bengals rank 31st in pass defense DVOA and have allowed the 3rd-highest yards per attempt in the league to opposing passing attacks. Baltimore has an implied total of 29.5 points, so there should be plenty of offense for them in this one. Other deep threat receivers have fared well against Cincy. DK Metcalf posted 4-89, Marquise Goodwin went 3-77-1, and they also allowed long scores to Diontae Johnson and Tyler Lockett this year. Brown shouldn’t be on your bench unless the injury keeps him there.
Borderline Rookies:
QB Gardner Minshew, JAX (Wk. 6: vs. NO): I keep telling you to sit Minshew each week, and he keeps responding by making me look foolish. He’s continued to turn what look like limited upside matchups into efficient and strong QB2 performances. This week he has a matchup that actually does have some upside for him. Naturally, he’s going to inevitably lay an egg in the week that he should blow up because fantasy football likes to laugh at us, but this looks like a spot where he is a reasonable bye week fill-in and a must-start in 2QB formats. The Saints rank 20th in pass defense DVOA and have allowed the 5th-most points per game to opposing QBs on the year. 4 of the 5 QBs they’ve faced topped 20 fantasy points. Minshew is an interesting option in DFS cash games this week that could allow you to spend your money on the other positions. He’s the 25th-highest priced QB on DraftKings ($5,000) but has yet to finish worse than the QB16 in any week this year.
WR Mecole Hardman, KC (Wk. 6: vs. Hou.): I’d lean toward starting Mecole this week if you’ve got him, especially if Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins both sit out. As of Wednesday, it sounds like Hill will be a game-time call, and Watkins is probably on the wrong side of questionable. Houston has allowed the 9th-most WR points per game on the year and the Chiefs have an implied total of 30 points. If Watkins and Hill both sit, 3-wide sets will consist of Hardman, Demarcus Robinson, and Byron Pringle. All 3 would have upside in this matchup, but I’d prefer Hardman over the other two. The return of Hill or Watkins would push him down to more of a WR4 this week.
WR Preston Williams, MIA (Wk. 6: vs. Was.): It feels awkward calling any Dolphin even as much as a borderline fantasy play, but Preston fits the bill this week. Washington has allowed the 3rd-most WR points per game, and Williams has been the target on nearly a quarter of Josh Rosen’s pass attempts this season. Rosen being named the starter for the remainder of the year is unquestionably a positive thing for Williams’ fantasy outlook. Preston has topped 10 PPR points in 3 out his 4 games this year, and he did that against tougher opponents than Washington. Williams is a reasonable WR3/flex option if you’re dealing with injuries or byes at the position this week.
WR DK Metcalf, SEA (Wk. 6: @Cle.): Metcalf’s deep ball upside keeps him in play as a WR3/flex option, but this might not be the best week for him. The Browns have had a conservative approach on the back end of the defense, taking away the deep ball and letting teams beat them underneath. They’ve allowed just 12 passes of 20+ yards though 5 games. It only takes one big play for Metcalf but be aware that he’s a volatile option.
Rookies to Sit:
QB Daniel Jones, NYG (Wk. 6: @NE): Jones posted his worst start of the year in week 5, and things look unlikely to get much better this week. Saquon Barkley, Evan Engram, Sterling Shepard and Wayne Gallman have all been ruled out already for Thursday night’s game and the Giants have an implied total below 14 points. The Patriots rank 2nd in pass defense DVOA and haven’t allowed at TD pass all year. They also have 11 interceptions through 5 games. This is the worst possible spot to start Jones.
QB Devlin Hodges, PIT (Wk. 6: @LAC): Hodges came into last Sunday’s game against the Ravens after an Earl Thomas hit knocked Mason Rudolph out cold, and he appears likely to get the starting nod this week. He didn’t look completely lost in his first NFL action, completing 7 of 9 passes for 68 yards and adding a 20-yard run, but there were some other incompletions (including an INT) that were negated by penalties. It would be a huge gamble to roll the dice on the undrafted rookie this week. The Chargers rank just 25th in pass defense DVOA, but only Deshaun Watson has reached 20 fantasy points against them. The Steelers are likely to go with as run-heavy a game plan as they can this week.
QB Dwayne Haskins, WAS (Wk. 6: @Mia.): Bill Callahan made it clear after taking over as the new head coach that he shares Jay Gruden’s outlook for Haskins: they don’t want him starting right now. Callahan said Haskins may be inactive some weeks with Keenum and McCoy both healthy. There is no reason to hold onto Haskins in redraft leagues right now.
RB Miles Sanders, PHI (Wk. 6: @Min.): Sanders is a really dicey flex option this week after comments from Doug Pederson that Jordan Howard will get more carries going forward. Howard has been a more decisive runner and has taken advantage of the Eagles’ mauling offensive line more effectively than Sanders has. The rookie may have a saving grace this week with Darren Sproles sidelined. It should be Sanders working as the primary receiving back this week (unless Corey Clement pops up). The problem is that Minnesota has allowed the 2nd-fewest RB receptions and receiving yards per game. I’d avoid playing Sanders this week unless you have to. Even if he still sees ok rushing volume, the Vikings rank 2nd in run defense DVOA.
RB Tony Pollard, DAL (Wk. 6: @NYJ): There is a chance that Pollard actually has a nice week at the Meadowlands. Pollard averaged 11 touches per game in the Cowboys’ 3 easy wins to open the year, and then played just 7 combined offensive snaps in the two losses since. The Cowboys are a touchdown favorite on Sunday, so Pollard may get involved late. The reason I list him as a ‘rookie to sit’ is because the Jets do have a decent run defense (11th in run defense DVOA) and I really don’t know what kind of league I would be desperate enough to play him in.
RB Alexander Mattison, MIN (Wk. 6: vs. Phi.): Mattison continued his trend of flashing in games with positive game script in week 5. He’s averaged 53 scrimmage yards per game in the Vikings’ 3 wins and just 19 yards in their 2 losses. Minnesota is a 3-point favorite this week, but I wouldn’t be looking for another 50-yard day out of Mattison. The Eagles have wiped out opposing running games, allowing less than 50 rushing yards per game to opposing backfields. Dalvin Cook might struggle to get to 50 yards on the ground in this one. I don’t expect there to be much left over for the rookie.
RB Justice Hill, BAL (Wk. 6: vs. Cin.): The matchup in week 6 is a juicy one for Baltimore’s backfield. The Bengals allow the 2nd-most RB points per game and rank 26th in run defense DVOA, but Hill has been an afterthought in this offense. He played the fewest snaps that he has all year in week 5. His DraftKings price tag is just $3,200, so you could roll the dice on him getting some extended run in a GPP tournament if you’re feeling feisty, but Gus Edwards is likely the biggest benefactor if the Ravens win in a rout.
RB Ryquell Armstead, JAX (Wk. 6: vs. NO): Armstead followed up a strong performance in week 4 with a disappearing act in week 5. He’s got 12 touches on the year, and 9 of them were in that week 4 contest. He’s no more than a Leonard Fournette handcuff at this point with next to no standalone value.
RB Dexter Williams, GB (Wk. 6: vs. Det.): Dexter seemed to have a prime opportunity to step up last weekend with Jamaal Williams sidelined. Instead the Packers activated Tra Carson from their practice squad and let him serve as the #2 back. Apparently, Dexter’s pass blocking isn’t where it needs to be for the Packers to trust him on the field. There isn’t any reason to have him rostered in redraft formats.
WR Diontae Johnson, PIT (Wk. 6: @LAC): Johnson has had a healthy target share for the Steelers since Big Ben went down and the Chargers are in the middle of the pack when it comes to points allowed to WRs, but Devlin Hodges at QB means I’m not willing to trust Diontae in lineups this week, even with James Washington sidelined. Johnson also needs to fix his ball control issues going forward. He’s fumbled twice in as many weeks, and his playing time will start to go down if that continues.
WR Miles Boykin, BAL (Wk. 6: vs. Cin.): Boykin gets a decent matchup against the Bengals this week. As I mentioned with Hollywood Brown earlier, they rank 31st in pass defense DVOA, and the Ravens have an implied team total of just under 30 points. Unfortunately for Boykin, he’s settled in as a guy playing right around 30% of the offensive snaps each week. That just isn’t enough playing time to trust him even in good matchups. This isn’t a bad week to hope he finds the end zone, but that’s really as much as you can hope for here unless Brown misses this game. If Brown is out, Boykin should get a little additional run but is still more of a dart throw than reliable option.
WR Andy Isabella, ARI (Wk. 6: vs. Atl.): Kliff Kingsbury stayed mostly true to his word last weekend and didn’t move Andy Isabella into the slot to replace Christian Kirk. Instead he used a rotation of Pharoh Cooper and his 2 tight ends (Maxx Williams & Charles Clay). Isabella did see a season-high 10 snaps, but he wasn’t targeted at all. He did get 2 rushing attempts. It sounds like Kirk will return this week, but even if he doesn’t, Isabella isn’t a guy to consider.
TE Irv Smith, MIN (Wk. 6: vs. Phi.): Smith played 51% of the Vikings’ offensive snaps last week…and wasn’t targeted even once. There will be weeks where the ball comes his way, but those weeks will be hard to predict in this low volume passing offense.
TE TJ Hockenson, DET (Wk. 6: @GB): The fact that the Lions had to come out after Hockenson’s concussion and say that he won’t be put on IR doesn’t make it sound like he’ll be back right away. Stunningly he was back at practice Wednesday & Thursday, but he is still in the concussion protocol. It seems like he’s trending in the right direction, but he could end up a game-time decision and the Packers have allowed the 6th-fewest tight end points per game this year. Since Hock plays on Monday, there really won’t be a way to have backup plan if Hockenson sits at the last minute. You’d basically be choosing between Jesse James and Robert Tonyan in that scenario (unless you have Jimmy Graham). I’d much rather just play someone else rather than wait on Hockenson in a tougher matchup.
Rookies on Byes: RB David Montgomery, CHI, RB Josh Jacobs, OAK, RB Devin Singletary, BUF, WR Hunter Renfrow, OAK, WR Parris Campbell, IND, TE Dawson Knox, BUF, TE Foster Moreau, OAK
Deep League Sleepers, Stashes, and Cheap DFS Options:
RB Jon Hilliman, NYG (Wk. 6: @NE): With Gallman and Barkley ruled out, Hilliman is the default starting running back for the Giants this week. He doesn’t get an inviting matchup. The Patriots haven’t let any running back get into the end zone this year, and they allow the 2nd-fewest RB fantasy points per game and rank 3rd in run defense DVOA. With the game script expected to be very negative for the Giants, Hilliman will have to do work in the passing game to return a decent day. He did catch 36 passes in his last 2 college seasons despite not being a workhorse back, so he may not be a slouch as a receiver. I wouldn’t be too interested in him in redraft leagues, especially with Saquon looking like he’ll return next week, but a $3,200 price tag in DraftKings for a starting running back is at least intriguing in a GPP tournament.
RB Benny Snell, PIT (Wk. 6: @LAC): The Steelers only face one defense ranked higher than 23rd in run defense DVOA in their next 7 games, and Jaylen Samuels is out for a month. Samuels had been mixing in behind Conner a decent amount, and while Snell isn’t nearly as versatile as Jaylen, the Steelers are very likely to focus on running the football while Devlin Hodges is at QB. Snell should work as a change of pace back behind Conner for the coming weeks and is worth scooping up in deeper formats.
RB Reggie Bonnafon, CAR (Wk. 6: @TB): For some inexplicable reason Jordan Scarlett is the highest priced rookie running back on DraftKings this week ($4,300) despite playing just 5 offensive snaps on the season. Anyone paying attention knows Bonnafon is the handcuff back here. Bonnafon played 11 snaps last weekend when Christian McCaffrey was dealing with cramps and he turned in a 5-80-1 line. I don’t suggest using Bonnafon this week as the Bucs rank #1 in the league in run defense DVOA. Bonnafon is worth scooping up as insurance in deep leagues if you have CMC.
WR AJ Brown, TEN (Wk. 6: @Den.): Brown has been the epitome of boom or bust this season. He’s has more PPR points in each of his two ‘boom’ games than he does in the other 3 combined. Chris Harris Jr. is likely to shadow Corey Davis this week, which should benefit Brown. Other notable number one receivers who have faced the Broncos include Allen Robinson (4-41), Davante Adams (4-56), DJ Chark (4-44) and Keenan Allen (4-18). Number 2 receivers have fared better – Marquez Valdes-Scantling (6-99-1), Dede Westbrook (5-66) and Mike Williams (6-74). Brown is in play this week in deep leagues and in DFS tournaments.
WR Deebo Samuel, SF (Wk. 6: @LAR): The 49ers have had one of the toughest WR groups to figure out for fantasy purposes. None of them were useful on Monday night as they blew the doors off the Browns. No receiver had more than 4 targets. This week’s game projects as more of a shootout with an over/under of 50. The 49ers should be forced to throw a little more, and the Rams rank 24th in pass defense DVOA. San Francisco has tried to manufacture ways to get the ball into Deebo’s hands, so he’s the 49er receiver I’d be most likely to take a shot on having a big game this week.
WR KeeSean Johnson, ARI (Wk. 6: vs. Atl.): Johnson was basically a full-time player in week 5 with Christian Kirk out. Kirk might be out again this week, and Johnson was targeted 7 times in his absence on Sunday. The Falcons allow the 2nd-most WR points per game, so there is legitimate upside for KeeSean this week if Kirk sits again.
WR Jakobi Meyers, NE (Wk. 6: vs. NYG): With Phillip Dorsett sidelined, Meyers will step in as the full time WR3 for the time being. That didn’t result in much fantasy production last week, but he should be more of a factor moving forward. If Dorsett misses several weeks Meyers should be a decent add in deep leagues. He gets a decent matchup with the Giants this week who rank 29th in pass defense DVOA. He’s basically a dart throw this week in a game the Pats should run away with.
WR Darius Slayton, NYG (Wk. 6: @NE): Slayton doesn’t have a great matchup this week, but Daniel Jones will have to throw the ball somewhere and Slayton has been the guy he’s had the best connection with among the available options. He’s topped 11 PPR points in two of his last 3 games and costs just $100 more than the minimum on DraftKings. He has nice upside for a bottom of the barrel DFS tournament play, even in this brutal matchup.
TE Noah Fant, DEN (Wk. 6: vs. Ten.): Fant saw his lowest target total of the season last Sunday and was outscored by teammate Jeff Heuerman, but he remained right around the same snap share that he’s been playing (66%). The Broncos got an early lead and leaned on the run game against the Chargers. This week’s matchup is one to target with tight ends. The Titans have allowed a tight end score in 4 of 5 games this year and allowed a 9-130 line to Austin Hooper in the other game. Fant is a solid TD dart throw this week.
TE Josh Oliver, JAX (Wk. 6: vs. NO): I mention Oliver this week because the Jaguars’ starting tight end James O’Shaughnessy suffered a season-ending ACL tear this week. I wouldn’t be racing to the waiver wire to pick him up in any redraft formats, but he may be worth a flier in deep dynasty leagues, especially TE premium formats. Oliver was the team’s primary pass catcher as a senior at San Jose State last year, hauling in more than 21% of the team’s catches, and more than 22.5% of their receiving yards. Geoff Swaim and Seth DeValve are both likely ahead of Oliver on the depth chart, but Jacksonville has utilized 3 tight ends this season, and Oliver may be the best receiver of the healthy trio. DeValve had played at least 22% of the offensive snaps each of the past 3 weeks as the team’s TE3. DeValve hasn’t seen a single target this year, and Swaim has turned 15 targets into 12 catches for just 60 yards. Monitor how much Oliver is used this week. If he has an obvious passing game role, he should become a guy worth adding in redraft formats.
That’s all I’ve got for this week. Hopefully it helps you with your toughest decisions involving rookies this week. Keep a close eye on the injury report this week. There are a ton of injuries that could have an impact on these outlooks – Marquise Brown, Sammy Watkins, Tyreek Hill, Saquon Barkley, Christian Kirk, Phillip Dorsett, etc. Make sure you know what injuries may affect your lineup and have a backup plan ready for Sunday. As always: Good luck, trust your gut, and have fun. It’s just a game.
QUARTERBACK
Matthew Stafford (fractured back) – Just checking in, Matt. It’s been 4 weeks since he’s been out there and since then the over-performing Jeff Driskel was sent to IR. The Lions are 3-8-1 and eliminated from the playoffs, so what’s the reason that Stafford is still around? Really, I feel like the Lions are just afraid to slap an IR tag on Stafford because that officially means that they are done. Does anyone think that Stafford will make more starts this year? I don’t.
Daniel Jones(moderate high-ankle sprain) – While you can recover from a more common lateral ankle sprain in less than a week, the usual recovery time for a high-ankle sprain can take as long as 6 weeks. A milder variety may take a couple of weeks if everything is going well and it seems like that’s what Jones has been diagnosed with here. As the Giants are currently 2-10, they are certainly in no danger of making the playoffs and the organization will want to take it easy with their future QB. All of this means that for the next few weeks, the man under center for the Giants will be none other than Eli Manning. What will the reintroduction of Manning do for the offense? It will likely bring with it more check downs to Barkley, lots of shorter passes, and a veteran presence that is able to mitigate some of the turnovers that the Giants were experiencing with Jones. That said, Manning was also turning over the ball at the beginning of the year, throwing 2 passing TDs but also 2 interceptions and responsible for 2 fumbles, all in just 2 games. Ultimately, I’m looking at Barkley and Engram as slightly upgraded and the rest as being an unpredictable mess. Best of luck with it!
Baker Mayfield (hand) – Mayfield smashed his throwing hand against Pittsburgh pass rusher Bud Dupree’s facemask on a long bomb downfield against the Steelers in Week 13. He went for X-Rays (which came back negative) and returned to finish the game with a glove on. As of Wednesday’s practice, his hand was heavily taped and he did not throw any passes. When he spoke to the media he revealed that he hasn’t thrown a pass since last Sunday, after the game. While it doesn’t yet seem like Mayfield will miss Week 14’s matchup against the Bengals – keep an eye out to make sure that Mayfield is a full participant in practice later this week.
RUNNING BACKS
Dalvin Cook (Shoulder) – Cook was forced to leave Monday Night Football after suffering an injury to his shoulder. This is an extremely high-profile injury because Cook was second in points among all running backs, to only Christian McCaffrey. We’re hearing a few things here. First, this was apparently not a shoulder injury at all, but rather an aggravation oh his pre-existing chest injury and a possible issue with his clavicle. Cook says, “I’ll be out there on Sunday”, and that may be true – but there is a strong possibility that he is either held out or limited, with rookie Alexander Mattison absorbing more snaps in Cook’s absence. The Vikings’ upcoming opponents Detroit (Week 14) and Green Bay (Week 16) both have bottom of the barrel defenses against the run. Whoever leads the backfield on Minnesota will certainly be a RB1/2. Watch this situation closely and I hope you were able to land Mattison if you are also a Cook owner. If for some reason he is still available out there on the wire, scoop him up!
Matt Breida (ankle) – Breida is practicing Wednesday and should play against New Orleans this weekend. Raheem Mostert was a monster against the Ravens last week, putting up 146 yards on 19 carries. With Tevin Coleman’s usage waning, this could mean a shakeup in the depth chart with Breida and Mostert on top for the rest of the season. Maybe. We need more time to flesh out this situation, but one thing is for sure – Mostert will continue to be utilized in this 3-headed run game after that performance.
Jordan Howard (shoulder) – The Eagles play on Monday Night Football this week, so Howard has a little extra time to get right. He hasn’t yet been cleared for contact but is expected to practice this week. In the meantime, Miles Sanders has taken over the bellcow role on the Eagles and gets a lot of work in the passing game, making him a solid RB2 for as long as this kind of volume stays consistent. If Howard was to come back, both would simply be FLEX plays and hard to count on.
James Conner(shoulder) – Pittsburgh has won 6 of their last 7 games heading into this weekend and will be doing everything they can to try and get their lead running back on the field against Arizona. For the first time in weeks, Conner put in a limited practice on Wednesday which raises hopes for him to practice in full Thursday or Friday and resume his normal role in the offense. That would be great for Conner owners, but if he is unable overcome his current limitations, Benny Snell Jr. will be a great RB2/3 in a matchup against the Cardinals, who have allowed the 10th most fantasy points to RBs this season, at 23. Snell is averaging about 18 attempts for 80 yards and .5 TDs in relief of Conner. He does not have a role in the passing game, however, that will belong almost completely to Jaylen Samuel.
Damien/Darrel Williams (ribs/hamstring) – Looks like Damien has a better shot at suiting up for this week’s dance with the Patriots than Darrel does, but both have yet to practice so far this week. The Chiefs backfield is getting pretty messy lately, with rookie Darwin Thompson putting up 44 yards and 1 TD on 11 carries, and former Chief Spencer Ware also getting signed (likely as a direct answer to the injuries that we’re seeing weekly). Darwin is an interesting play if neither of the Williams’ boys end up healthy this weekend, but it’s just as likely that a rotation of backs removes predictable fantasy value from any of these guys.
Kalen Ballage (leg) – With Ballage off to IR, the Dolphins claimed Zach Zenner off waivers and they also have 2nd year Patrick Laird and rookie Myles Gaskin. It may seem tempting to bet on a horse here, but my suggestion is to avoid the situation entirely.
WIDE RECEIVERS
Julio Jones (shoulder) – Jones was a game-time decision last week but did not end up suiting up to close out the Thanksgiving football games. Instead, 2nd year WR Russell Gage filled in and ended up with 5 receptions for 52 yards and 1 TD. He has been involved in the passing game even before Julio’s injury, ever since Sanu was traded to the Patriots. An interesting flex play or bench stash, he may not factor in heavily this week as Jones is already practicing in a limited fashion. Coach Dan Quinn expects him to play with no issues against the Panthers… who, by the way, have been giving up huge game to opposing WRs lately.
John Ross (clavicle) – Ross is back, and with Dalton under center. The Bengals are showing signs of life, believe it or not. It’s been an interesting story for him this year, as the injury he suffered in Week 4’s loss against the Steelers was almost life-threatening. Apparently, the sternoclavicular joint in Ross’ chest was just an inch away from puncturing an artery. He has made a full recovery, though, and the field-spreading speedster will most likely be back out there against the Browns on Sunday. As to whether it’s a smart move or not to start him in his first game back after being on IR for most of the season? Nah. Probably not. But hey, sometimes we don’t have the luxury of very many choices, and this is definitely a choice.
T.Y. Hilton (calf) – Hilton’s calf injury is lingering and at this point even he is thinking about shutting it down for the season. “If I can, I can.” He said. “If I can’t, then might just shut it down.” Rough stuff for the Colts, who are in desperate need of playmakers after losing Ebron (IR) and Mack (hand) recently as well. Marlon Mack is back at practice this week, though, and is aiming to play in Week 14’s game against the Bucs. I don’t see Hilton suiting up this week, or anytime soon, and in the meantime, there is always Zach Pascal, who will be a boom or bust replacement for Hilton. Last week against the Titans he exploded for 109 yards on 7 receptions. There just aren’t that many targets out there on the offense. Pretty much Pascal, Doyle, and whatever RB may be hanging around the line of scrimmage.
Adam Thielen (hamstring) – Bad news for Thielen: it looks like his injured (and then aggravated) hamstring is not getting any better. There are whispers of this being related to the same hamstring injury that he had several years ago, as well. He was practicing last week before being ruled out for the game, and this week he is not practicing so far. I think it’s likely that some sort of regression occurred, and he may be shut down for a few weeks. If that’s the case, there’s not a very good substitute on this team for Thielen’s production. Bisi Johnson hasn’t had a game above 43 yards all year and there is no one else to speak of in their WR corps. Those targets usually end up being absorbed by Kyle Rudolph, Irv Smith Jr., and the RBs.
Taylor Gabriel (concussion) – Gabriel remains in the league’s concussion protocol, and since he’s been out Anthony Miller has seen a resurgence since his poor early performance in the season. With over 6 receptions in each of the last 3 games, and a great performance which included 9 receptions for 140 yards against Detroit on Thanksgiving Day, Miller is due for a TD. Remember last year? He’s looking like that same guy finally. Quite an interesting play this week against Dallas. Allen Robinson has also been performing well for the Bears… is this Trubisky late-season magic? Or just some talented receivers hitting their stride? Who cares, I’m taking the points.
TIGHT ENDS
TJ Hockenson (ankle) – Moved to IR, Hockensen started off the year with a bang, but quickly regressed to mediocre TE status when he realized that he was just a rookie tight end and they usually take a few years to develop to that level in the NFL. The Lions are now left at the position with former Steeler Jesse James catching passes from the 3rd string QB, David Blough. Yikes.
Austin Hooper (knee) – Hooper has been out since Nov. 10 against the Saints, but he practiced on Wednesday in a limited capacity and has a chance to suit up in Week 14 against the Panthers. Hopefully you kept Hooper on your roster because the TE position is thin this year, and Hooper is an immediate top-5 start if he’s healthy, regardless of matchup. Another one to watch this week.
Greg Olsen (concussion)–Suffering a gnarly concussion in the Panthers Week 13 loss to the Redskins, Olsen may be out for a week or two. His backup, Ian Thomas, is a very talented 2nd year TE that can put up numbers in fantasy. Filling in for Olsen, he quickly had 4 receptions for 24 yards. Does your TE depth have you down? Thomas may just be the answer to your prayers!
It is that time of year again. The time when fantasy football players start waking up from a long Winter slumber and taking a look at NFL rosters with a mix of surprise, excitement, and terror. In this two-part feature, I will take you on a trip through every team in the NFL to highlight some of the major fantasy-relevant offseason personnel moves. We'll start with the AFC. From Stefon Diggs to Melvin Gordon, quite a few big names have seen changes of scenery this offseason.
New England Patriots: Obviously, Tom Brady skipping town to join the Buccaneers is the big news here, but an arguably more interesting turn of events is that 2nd year QB Jarrett Stidham is now the incumbent starter. The Pats did not select a QB in the draft, but there are a few veterans floating around in free agency: Cam Newton, Joe Flacco, and Blake Bortles among them, but it is not likely that New England moves in that direction. Mohamed Sanu was not cut as some expected, leaving last year’s cast of characters plus recent acquisition from the Chiefs, Damiere Byrd, as well as 2020 draft pick Devin Asiasi as this season’s primary pass-catchers.
Buffalo Bills: The Bills brought in some talent from out of town in Stefon Diggs, a major offensive gain for Josh Allen’s offense. They also let Frank Gore walk in free agency, getting signed by the Jets in what will likely be Gore’s last residency (how many times have we said that before?).
New York Jets: Frank Gore is back together again with Adam Gase to find some way to string together a few more 100-yard games as depth to incumbent RB Le’Veon Bell, and wide receiver Breshad Perriman was signed from the Bucs. This helps, but they will still need more help at the receiver position with Robby Anderson departing.
Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins acquired RBs Jordan Howard and Matt Breida, and drafted Tua Tagovailoa to be the QB of the future. Maybe it is looking up in Miami?
Baltimore Ravens: Traded TE Hayden Hurst to the Falcons for two draft picks this year, including the 2nd round pick they used to select RB J.K. Dobbins who will be groomed as the feature back in Baltimore. The rest is business as usual for a team that did not need much help on offense.
Pittsburgh Steelers: The surging Steelers defense can’t win games by itself, and so Pittsburgh added more offensive components to try and compete in 2020, bringing in TE Eric Ebron and drafting both RB Anthony McFarland Jr and WR Chase Claypool as high-upside depth at those positions who will both likely see regular snaps in their rookie years.
Cleveland Browns: Case Keenum was solidified as the Browns’ backup with a three-year contract, and Cleveland signed former Falcons TE Austin Hooper for a stunning $44 million dollar contract with $23 million guaranteed. Good luck, Cleveland – you will need it.
Cincinnati Bengals: Clearly the big conversation centers around #1 draft pick Joe Burrow becoming the new signal caller in Cincinnati. Out with Andy Dalton. The Bengals also drafted a new target in WR Tee Higgins.
Houston Texans: It has been quite the offseason for Bill O’Brien and the Texans. DeAndre Hopkins is now an Arizona Cardinal, and in his place the Texans acquired Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb. David Johnson will take over duties as the primary ball carrier from departing free agent RBs Lamar Miller and Carlos Hyde.
Tennessee Titans: Delanie Walker and Dion Lewis were cut, carving a more prominent role for incumbent TE Jonnu Smith and the Titans drafted RB Darrynton Evans in order to try and bolster what is a very thing depth chart behind featured running back Derrick Henry. Newly re-signed Ryan Tannehill will try to come close to the high bar he set for himself in the 2019 season.
Indianapolis Colts: Washed up? Ha! The Colts signed Philip Rivers to lead the offense in 2020 for a $25 million price tag. If he fails, they will go right back to Jacoby Brissett. Indianapolis also drafted RB Jonathan Taylor and WR Michael Pittman who should immediately slot into the starting lineup. Should we mention former Bears TE Trey Burton? I guess.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Needing a starting TE, the Jaguars signed former Bengal Tyler Eifert, which will reunite him with OC Jay Gruden in Jacksonville. Gardner Minshew will retain the starting role, although the Jaguars did draft QB Jake Luton but it would be a surprise to see him making starts this season.
Kansas City Chiefs: Fantasy football managers should be excited about the Chiefs drafting RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who will have an immediate role in the offense. Kansas City also acquired TE Ricky Seals-Jones and some made some other depth positional signings, but not much else has changed on offense. Why mess with a good thing, right?
Denver Broncos: Melvin Gordon is now a Bronco, which likely minimizes the fantasy value of Phillip Lindsay and relegates Royce Freeman to a backup role. Starting QB Drew Lock got some new toys in the draft in WRs Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. The Broncos have very little excuse not to improve on their 7-9 record from 2019.
Las Vegas Raiders: It is going to be tough to say ‘Las Vegas’ when referring to the Raiders but we will do our best. Henry Ruggs III was the fastest receiver at the combine, so clearly the Raiders had to draft him. Regardless of how that pans out it will improve the talent in the receiver room in Las Vegas. The Raiders also acquired Marcus Mariota and Jason Witten, but maybe the latter signing was just so that Gruden could have someone closer to his age to hang out with on the sideline.
Los Angeles Chargers: Let us start with replacing Philip Rivers at QB. Ok, insert Justin Herbert. The Chargers also drafted RB Joshua Kelley who should get some work right away behind starter Austin Ekeler, and WR K.J. Hill who I have seen talked up as one of the steals of the 2020 draft. We’ll see Chargers, we’ll see.