Another strong week to help with our own “playoff push” in confidence pools!
The stories are starting to pop up now about whether the Panthers will rest players or not during the last three weeks of the season. This is something you need to keep in mind when making your picks as well. If you think that Cam Newton, Greg Olsen and the majority of Carolina starters will spend most of the game on the bench, you probably don’t want the Panthers too high on your sheet.
Week 15 – HERE WE GO!!!!!!!!
(HOME TEAM IN ALL CAPS)
16 – NEW ENGLAND over Tennessee – The Pats are back after a strong showing in Houston. Their reward is the late season equivalent of a bye week.
15 – SEATTLE over Cleveland – Some teams seem to rest at the end of the year to prepare for the playoffs, but it seems like Seattle rests at the beginning of the season and dominates at the end for momentum into the playoffs. Looks like that is their strategy yet again this year.
14 – MINNESOTA over Chicago – The Vikings need to get back on track before the playoffs start. Lucky for them they get a confusing Bears team that are coming off of losses against the “mighty” Redskins and 49ers.
13 – Cincinnati over SAN FRANCISCO – Cincy is on their backup quarterback as they make their playoff run – that’s a small negative. They get to play the Niners this week – that’s a major plus!
12 – NEW ORLEANS over Detroit – This was a playoff game just a few years ago. I’ll go out on a limb and say it won’t be a playoff matchup this year.
11 – PITTSBURGH over Denver – Yes, it’s odd to see Denver this high on the list on the losing side, but the Steelers seem to be running on all cylinders at the right time.
10 – Kansas City over BALTIMORE – Justin Houston may be out for the Chiefs, but against this depleted of a Ravens’ offense, you don’t really need to play 11 guys on defense to win.
9 – Carolina over NEW YORK GIANTS – If the Panthers start to sit players for the playoffs, it won’t be this week. Sorry Giants!
8 – Arizona over PHILADELPHIA – The dysfunctional Eagles team can handle a home game against the Bills, but not the Cardinals.
7 – New York Jets over DALLAS – The Cowboys are still eligible to win their division AND are still eligible for the #1 pick in the draft! This week will show they are closer to the latter.
6 – OAKLAND over Green Bay – By the time you finish reading this, Khalil Mack will have another sack! Watch out Aaron!
5 – ST LOUIS over Tampa Bay – I’d have something intelligent to say about this game, but I am just WAY too distracted by the uniforms these teams plan on wearing!
4 – WASHINGTON over Buffalo – The Skins seem to be the lesser of four evils in the NFC East this year. This week’s BOLD PREDICTION is that THE REDSKINS WILL WIN THE NFC EAST.
3 – SAN DIEGO over Miami – In August, this game was viewed as potentially huge in the race for the wild card in the AFC. Now its viewed…by nobody outside of San Diego and Miami.
2 – INDIANAPOLIS over Houston – Even after three months of disappointment the Texans and Colts will still battle for control of the division. Colts take this one because they are at home.
1 – JACKSONVILLE over Atlanta – It’s hard to argue that the Falcons have thrown in the flag on the 2015 season. That’s good news for Jacksonville’s division hopes.
That's right, in most fantasy football leagues Week 16 brings us to the championship game, and if you're lucky enough to be involved in your league's final match-up you'll likely need to do some fishing on the waiver wire. If the injuries we've seen in the past few weeks are any indication, a lot of squads are hobbling in to this final fantasy confrontation and it could be these last few waiver picks that determine who brings home the trophy. This week we'll look at two picks for each major offensive position (QB, WR, RB & TE) - one well-known guy (owned in 30% or less Yahoo leagues) and one under-the-radar guy (10% or less).
Kirk Cousins (QB, WAS) 25% Owned, @PHI - Cousins and the Washington Redskins' offense have really stepped it up in recent weeks and it shows in Cousins' fantasy production. He has steadily increased his passing yardage over the past 3 games (219, 200, 319) and just threw 4 TDs against the Bills last week. During that time he has only thrown 1 interception. Going up against an Eagles defense that gives up 18+ fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, Cousins is a great play if he's available.
SLEEPER Blaine Gabbert (QB, SF) 3% Owned, @DET - Gabbert is a tough start, but if you're scraping the bottom of the QB barrel, here's what you have to work with! Based on his starts this season, he has a floor of about 13 points, but there is some upside there when playing against defenses susceptible to the pass such as the Bears. The Lions defense is only slightly better on the year against QBs, which bodes well for Gabbert this week. I'm predicting 15 points here.
Dorial Green-Beckham (WR, TEN) 23% Owned, vs. HOU - Green-Beckham has improved this season, and is being rewarded with a steady increase of targets culminating in 9 just last week against New England's stingy secondary. Based on his heavy usage we're looking at a guy who will get enough opportunities to be fantasy relevant this week, but still has a floor of just 4 or 5 points. A risky start that could pay off big dividends.
SLEEPER Dontrelle Inman (WR, SD) 8% Owned, @OAK - Inman has shown sporadic bursts of production this year, but it's definitely tough to trust an inconsistent 2nd year receiver on a wounded team that has already given up on the season. Thankfully, the Chargers pulled together a win last week over the Dolphins, and Inman will have another good match-up against the Raiders who are allowing almost 20 points to opposing WRs. At this point, Inman, Gates and Woodhead are the only healthy options on the offense, expect them all to have at least serviceable outings.
Bilal Powell (RB, NYJ) 21% Owned, vs. NE - Powell has been impressive over the past few weeks, doing well on the limited carries that he is given but capitalizing on his utilization as a passing down back. Especially against an opponent like the Patriots, Powell should be called upon often as a checkdown target and should have ample opportunities to get in for a touchdown. A better play in PPR leagues, but still very relevant down the stretch in standard scoring leagues.
SLEEPER Steven Jackson (RB, NE) 2% Owned, @NYJ - I know, I know.. he was just signed by the Patriots - could Jackson possibly be a viable fantasy option at this most crucial of times during the fantasy season? Well, short answer is yes. Bolden was not running the football well last week and it's more than likely that Jackson's signing was an indication that there needed to be a veteran presence at the position, and one that could see immediate time on the field. So, are you feeling lucky?
Will Tye (TE, NYG) 10% Owned, @MIN - For some reason, no one seems interested in picking up Tye and playing them on a weekly basis. Not sure why, because he really has performed well over the past few weeks including 2 TDs in the last 2 match-ups. He averages about 6 targets per game since Larry Donnell was injured! I'm considering him a borderline TE1 yet again against the Vikings in Week 16 and would have absolutely no hesitation starting him if I didn't have one of the top weekly options already.
SLEEPER Vance McDonald (TE, SF) 6% Owned, @DET - McDonald had two big weeks earlier this season, but a concussion forced him off the field in Week 13 against the Bears. His first game back was just last week against the Bengals, which proved to be a disappointing effort, but it was also a bad week for the 49ers offense in general. Talk about under the radar, nobody is expecting a big performance from McDonald this week but I think he'll have a few receptions and a TD which makes him a great play! (Interesting tidbit: The Lions defense has given up a league-leading 11 TDs to tight ends so far in 2015).
Last week we had a bit of a Christmas present for you with another pretty solid week. You should be close to if not at the top of your pool by now – you’re welcome! Here is hoping that the picks just keep on giving for you! Have a happy and safe holiday season everyone!
Week 16 – HERE WE GO!!!!!!!!
(HOME TEAM IN ALL CAPS)
16 – KANSAS CITY over Cleveland – The Chiefs haven’t lost a game seemingly since VHS was a thing. They host the Browns this week…Merry Christmas Chiefs!
15 – SEATTLE over St Louis – Seattle continues to roll on their way to the post-season. Russell Wilson continues to shine as his backfield continues to crumble.
14 – BUFFALO over Dallas – So many fans will be watching this game just thinking about Super Bowl matchups in the early 90s – Cowboy fans more so since they actually won those games.
13 – TAMPA BAY over Chicago – It’s the Lovie Bowl! New Lovie will have the young Bucs hungry to play their hardest against Old Lovie.
12 – OAKLAND over San Diego – The Raiders were originally on a lower line, but add in the emotions of what will now be Charles Woodson’s last home game and a Raider win is almost a sure thing…helps that they’re playing the Chargers.
11 – MINNESOTA over New York Giants – No O’dell Beckham for the Giants means that they won’t have a way to combat the stingy Viking defense.
10 – Carolina over ATLANTA – The thriller in Jersey last week might just be the last chance of seeing a not round number in the L column for the Panthers this season. If you don’t think Cam is the MVP, you’re doing it wrong.
9 – DETROIT over San Francisco – The Lions offense seems to have returned a bit. Doesn’t matter though, they get to play the 49ers anyway.
8 – Pittsburgh over BALTIMORE – Antonio Brown has been called the Jerry Rice of this era…can you argue against that? My BOLD PREDICTION for this week is that ANTONIO BROWN WILL HAVE ANOTHER 200 YARD RECEVING GAME.
7 – ARIZONA over Green Bay – Ladies and gentlemen, introducing David Johnson. Packer fans will probably be sick of hearing his name by the end of the night.
6 – DENVER over Cincinnati – This can’t be! Monday Night Football actually has a top matchup of the week? Not two team battling for the top spot…in the draft?? What a concept! The Broncos defense will take advantage of the new Bengals starting QB in this one.
5 – Houston over TENNESSEE – Houston seems to have taken control of the AFC South after a big win in Indy last week. Their reward is a game against the lowly Titans with a backup quarterback.
4 – NEW ORLEANS over Jacksonville – The Saints need to start re-building – a Drew Brees foot injury could very well be the nudge needed to take that step.
3 – NEW YORK JETS over New England – Who knew that this late season matchup of old rivals would actually end up being a good game … with the possibility of the Jets winning?
2 – MIAMI over Indianapolis – Miami has been a big disappointment this year. The only other team that would have the same consideration for disappointment of the year are the Colts. At least the Dolphins get this game at home.
1 – Washington over PHILADELPHIA – The Redskins should pull out a big road win in the race to see who will be the tallest midget in the NFC East.
Happy New Year everyone!
In our last push to get that full season championship, we get a week of divisional match-ups with almost no playoff scenarios finalized – that is a Christmas present in itself. We don’t need to worry about the Panthers benching their starters – they are still playing for home-field advantage thanks to the Falcons. The Redskins have their playoff opening week set, but they play a depleted Dallas team, so no real need to think too much about that game.
It has been another exciting year of football. I think we can all agree that the biggest takeaway from 2015 to take into 2016…the Raiders will win Super Bowl 51!
Week 17 – HERE WE GO!!!!!!!!!
(HOME TEAM IN ALL CAPS)
16 – CAROLINA over Tampa Bay – Remember how I said that the Panthers still have something to play for? That’s bad news for the Bucs.
15 – CINCINNATI over Baltimore – Baltimore just needs to look towards 2016 and the Bengals will be more than willing to help them put an end to a bad 2015.
14 – DENVER over San Diego – The Broncos always seemed to find ways to win a game in 2015…and the Chargers always seemed to find ways to lose a game.
13 – New England over MIAMI – Simply put, the Dolphins were a joke this year. Tom Brady and friends get to put the final punch line in Miami this season.
12 – Pittsburgh over CLEVELAND – In the spirit of the college bowl season, the Steelers get to play the equivalent of a mid-major college team.
11 – ARIZONA over Seattle – Wow the Cardinals are good! With such an explosive offense and a potentially dominating defense, the Panthers in the Super Bowl may not be a sure thing.
10 – INDIANAPOLIS over Tennessee – To say the season has been a letdown for the Colts would be an understatement. They can still sneak in the playoffs with a win and a Houston loss. They’ll do their part and …
9 – HOUSTON over Jacksonville – …well it won’t matter. Houston has been looking solid the last few weeks and should be able to wrap up the dreadful AFC South title.
8 – KANSAS CITY over Oakland – These two teams could very well rekindle their storied rivalry over the next few years. As for this year, the Chiefs look too strong.
7 – NEW YORK GIANTS over Philadelphia – At least the Eagles get to look forward to a non-Chip Kelly led team next year.
6 – New York Jets over Buffalo – The Jets have been a very pleasant surprise this season. A win here and some help will give them a seemingly improbably playoff berth.
5 – GREEN BAY over Minnesota – The regular season ends in Lambeau. The winner of this one wins the NFC North and hosts Seattle in the Wild Card round … the loser gets to play Washington … hhmmm …
4 – St Louis over San Francisco – Cheer up 9er fans – with the way the draft order is playing out, Jared Goff should be there for you to snatch up.
3 – Washington over Dallas – Kirk Cousins probably won’t play the whole game … shouldn’t matter against whoever is left to play for the Cowboys.
2 – Detroit over Chicago – The Bears have been horrible on the lakefront this year – why should this week be any different for them?
1 – ATLANTA over New Orleans – How the mighty have fallen! This game could have been an NFC Championship preview the last few years. My final BOLD PREDICTION of the season is that DREW BREES WILL NOT BE THE STARTING QUARTERBACK FOR THE SAINTS IN WEEK 1 NEXT SEASON.