Fantasy football strategy, rankings, and podcasts

JuJu is having so much fun this season, and so are we! You have to love the exuberance that you see out there on the field when things are going well with an offensive or defensive scheme throughout the course of a game. This week, we'll provide analysis on some fantasy starts and sits leading into Week 9 and give you the info you need to carry your team into the playoffs over the next few weeks of byes and injuries. 

Listen to the Fantasy Finish Line Ep10: Trade Deadline Goes WOOOSH!

Subscribe to our podcast on iTunes to get notifications whenever we release a new episode. We also broadcast the shows live at http://www.mixlr.com/drinkfive on Tuesday nights at 8pm CT. Feel free to browse over and join in the discussion in the chat room!

The NFL trade deadline this season went by on Tuesday at 4pm ET, and there were a few blockbuster trades before it was all said and done. Golden Tate and Demaryius Thomas are now on new squads and those personnel changes will have far-reaching consequences for fantasy production in the last half of the season. We discuss what those might be and how to move forward - feel free to consult This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. or ask us your lineup questions @drinkfive on Twitter. Best of luck going forward!

Listen to the Fantasy Finish Line, 10/31/2018: Trades, Trades, Trades! 

Subscribe to our podcast on iTunes to get notifications whenever we release a new episode. We also broadcast the shows live at http://www.mixlr.com/drinkfive on Wednesday nights. Feel free to browse over and join in the discussion in the chat room!

The trade deadline was yesterday, and it made a great wooshing sound as it went past. The NFL is considerably more active with trades during the season compared to when we started the site back in 2011. The trade deadline may not result in moves that tip the balance of the league, like in the MLB, but there’s plenty of fantasy relevant moves that just might tip the balance in your league. First, we’ll start with two trades that happened in the last couple weeks, then the three fantasy relevant trades that happened yesterday.

Carlos Hyde, Browns to the Jaguars – This trade was made in an attempt to fill in for Leonard Fournette, who can't stay on the field this year. The Jaguars really need help in their backfield, and Hyde is a reasonable upgrade and will split work with T.J. Yeldon. The Jaguars have shown that they cannot lean on the passing game. They have won only one game this season without Fournette in the lineup. Long story short, the Jags need to have a strong run game to have any chance to return to the AFC Championship game this year.

                Jaguars Fantasy Impact – The Jaguars are on bye this week, giving Hyde an extra week to get up to speed. Reports are that Fournette will also try to return for Week 10, but that’s far from certain, so we’ll see what the injury reports say next week. If Fournette returns, this would likely be at the expense of T.J. Yeldon’s touches. Hyde and Fournette will likely share the load, though both have been underwhelming this year. Fournette has just 90 scrimmage yards in two games and is a 50/50 chance to re-injure himself as hamstring injuries can be tricky. Hyde got only 6 carries against the Eagles last week, though it was just his first game as a Jaguar. This year, Hyde has a career low 3.3 yards per carry, and only had 6 catches in 6 games in Cleveland, after getting 59 last season. Hyde’s bright spot is that he’s found the end zone 5 times this year.   TL:DR; Hyde and Fournette will split work until one of them shows any glimpses of competence. T.J. Yeldon is the odd man out, IF Fournette plays. That’s (literally) a big if.

                Browns Fantasy Impact – Not only has the Browns backfield been shaken up by this move, but now they will have a new Head Coach and OC to work with on Sunday. It’s tough to say what the new crew will do, but they would be well advised to keep feeding Nick Chubb. Getting Chubb the ball is perhaps the entire point of this trade in the first place. Chubb has taken the ball 18 times in each of the last 2 games, tacking on 2 receptions as well. He leads the league with 6.1 yards per carry, so I expect Chubb to continue getting the ball, depending on game flow. The next 3 opponents for the Browns are the Chiefs, Falcons and Bengals – all teams that are in the top 8 for giving up points to opposing RBs. Duke Johnson used to play the change of pace role in this offense, but he has been a ghost most of the year. He’s lagging well behind last year’s numbers in every category, and his usage did not pick up in the last two weeks with Hyde gone. Johnson is talented and available in a lot of leagues, but cannot be counted on yet.                        TL:DR; Chubb’s stock is way up with this trade and could flirt with low RB1 status the next few weeks. Duke Johnson should be a worthy PPR flex play, but cannot be counted on for now.

Amari Cooper, Raiders to Cowboys – The story of this trade is the price that the Cowboys were willing to pay for Cooper. This doesn’t matter much for fantasy, but it is nice to see someone get completely dominated in a trade, just like you see in your own league. The Cowboys are desperate for a deep threat to relieve some pressure for Ezekiel Elliot, but this is unlikely to be the answer. In Oakland, the fire sale is in full effect after the trade of Khalil Mack to start the season.John Gruden is stockpiling 1^st round draft picks like they’re freeze-dried meals and Y2K is coming up. To be fair, it’s perhaps the only sensible move that the Raiders have made since Gruden took charge, and it’s mostly because it’s possible this goes down as one of the worst trades the Cowboys have made, considering this could wind up being a top-10 pick.

                Cowboys Fantasy Impact – Cooper obviously slides in as an every down receiver, and is probably in a better situation than he was in Oakland. He still hasn’t been active in Dallas, but there’s no fantasy relevant WR that he’s even displacing. Even so, I don’t expect Cooper to do very much. For a guy who was once thought of as a top 10 WR in the league (drafted 4^th overall in 2015), he’s fallen off a cliff. Since Week 9 of 2016, Cooper has only 4 games with 100+ yards during that span of 30 games. He reached that level 9 times in his first 24 games.                        TL:DR; Don’t count on Cooper to be fantasy relevant, and he’s not displacing anyone else on the Cowboys, so there’s no fantasy impact? I’m officially confused by this move.

                Raiders Fantasy Impact – The Raiders have only had one game since this trade, and against the Colts, when they were down by multiple scores and still put up 28 points, there were just 7 receptions spread among the 4 WRs that played in the game. Jordy Nelson had just one catch and cannot be counted on. Brandon LaFell is not going to pick up the slack. Jalen Richard wound up with 8 receptions, and it looks like he might be the only fantasy player on the Raiders who is making positive changes.       TL:DR; The Raiders are bad and they should feel bad. Richard might fill in and be a flex in PPR leagues, but seriously, don’t rely on the Raiders to win fantasy games.

Demaryius Thomas, Broncos to Texans – Now we’re on to the deadline-day trades. Thomas’s name was associated with several teams, but he wound up going to Houston to join one of the hottest teams in the league (5 wins in a row counts, right?). The Texans are clearly better when they have two deep threats, and with Will Fuller on the IR, they had a big hole to fill. Good on the Texans for going out and getting a reasonable replacement. Thomas has struggled this year, but he’s getting a large upgrade at QB. The Broncos are also in a partial rebuilding phase, and have been riding Emmanuel Sanders all year anyways. Courtland Sutton is a good looking rookie who needs more time on the field, so this move makes a lot of sense from both sides.

                Texans Fantasy Impact – This impact should be pretty straightforward. Will Fuller just put big numbers last week, then tore his ACL at the end of the game.Thomas will attempt to be a direct replacement for Fuller. Keke Coutee, if healthy, could be a wild card that takes a bit of work from Thomas, however there’s probably room for 3 WRs to be fantasy relevant if Deshaun Watson is playing as well as he can.           TL:DR; Fuller is out, Thomas is in. Coutee could be a wild card, but I would only count on the healthiest WR on the Texans, aside from that Hopkins guy. He’s pretty good.

                Broncos Fantasy Impact – It’s hard to increase Emmanuel Sanders’ performance on this season, considering he’s the #7 WR on the season. I expect Sanders to remain steady as he’s clearly the favorite target of Case Keenum. Courtland Sutton is the story here. The rookie has made several flashy plays this season, and now will be up for a lot more work than before. Sutton’s ceiling this year has been 3 receptions, so there’s a lot of room for growth there. He’s also averaging 19.1 yards per catch, so increased snaps, targets and receptions will help stretch the offense and will open up space for both Sanders and the running backs. The next 3 matchups for the Broncos is a mixed bag, so don’t expect immediate results.               TL:DR; Sanders remains a top 10 option, Sutton is now the new rookie hotness and he can quickly become a fantasy relevant WR.

Ty Montgomery, Packers to Ravens – This is a trade that was definitely not going to happen last Saturday, but was pretty obviously coming by Tuesday, due to Montgomery basically being blamed (rightfully so) for the Packers loss to the Rams. Montgomery’s boneheaded move got him traded for just a 2020 seventh round pick. The only way that could feel worse is if he was getting sent to the Raiders. The Ravens probably didn’t need another RB on their team, but Ozzie Newsome knows a bargain when he sees one.

                Ravens Fantasy Impact – I’m don’t think that Montgomery is worthy of weekly fantasy starts, considering that he’s going to be firmly behind Alex Collins on the depth chart. I don’t expect him to take much work away from Collins, so you can relax there if Collins is on your team. Buck Allen looks like the odd man out with this move, but since he’s not very relevant this year, that’s not a big change. Montgomery is only owned in 17% of Yahoo leagues, and that’s probably right. He can stay on the waiver wire for now.            TL:DR; Alex Collins stays the same, Buck Allen will lose snaps, but Montgomery isn’t even worth owning, so overall, there’s not much change.

                Packers Fantasy Impact – The Packers backfield has long been thought of as a potential El Dorado, but usually winds up being fool’s gold instead. Montgomery’s 6 touches per game will need to go somewhere, yes, but adding 6 touches per game to Aaron Jones is not how this math is going to work out. Yes, Jones is the back to own on the Packers, but the Packers never seem to commit to the run, or even one RB. Jamaal Williams also stands to benefit, but much like Buck Allen, he wasn’t fantasy relevant in the first place. This little bump is unlikely to change things on that front. I think the real impact of this move will be the message that’s sent to the rest of the team.                 TL:DR; Don’t fuck with Aaron Rodgers. Aaron Jones needs to get the ball more, but probably won’t. Still, he should be rostered everywhere.

Golden Tate, Lions to Eagles – Wrapping up our trade discussion is the best offensive player to be traded on Tuesday, Golden Tate. Tate gets the rare double bye week this season, which sucks for those of you with him on your team. Tate is averaging 10.5 points per game this season, which is good for top 25 in both average and overall points. This is the one trade that I wasn’t expecting. The Lions are looking to get something out of Tate instead of letting him walk at the end of the year. They know they aren’t likely to move on to the playoffs. The Eagles are trying to get rid of their Super Bowl hangover, and as a person who has had hangovers before, sometimes you just gotta try something different.

                Eagles Fantasy Impact – This is the toughest impact for me to figure out. I don’t expect Alshon Jeffery to lose any work. He has 4 TDs in 5 games and is averaging nearly 70 yards per game this year. Nelson Agholor is likely the odd man out, as he plays in the slot like Tate, but is not nearly as prolific as a run after the catch guy. Tate is averaging nearly 3 yards per catch more than Agholor, and as a slot receiver, those are all yards that Tate has earned by himself. Still, I’m not sure how this situation is really going to shake out for the 4-4 Eagles.            TL:DR; Tate will remain a WR3, likely at the expense of Nelson Agholor. Don’t expect Alshon Jeffery’s value to go up or down significantly. Also I’m the least certain about this than any other team listed here.

                Lions Fantasy Impact – The Lions are going to continue throwing the ball a lot. Stafford has 273 yards per game this year, and that’s a lot of yardage to go around. Marvin Jones is likely to see a small boost in his targets. I expect last year’s rookie Kenny Golladay to be the biggest beneficiary of this move, similar to Courtland Sutton. Look for Brandon Powell, an undrafted free agent and punt returner to get a look in the slot. Realistically, Theo Riddick is the one who’s likely to absorb those passes that are over the middle, short yardage, and third down work.                 TL:DR; Jones and Golladay will see  a bump, Powell is going to get a look, but isn’t fantasy relevant. Riddick is going to be a PPR nut once again.

Big news out of New England with an uncharacteristic move to bring in some much-needed wide receiver depth. The Patriots, who are typically very stingy trading draft capital, shocked many by giving up a 2nd round pick in the 2020 draft to Atlanta in exchange for Mohamed Sanu.

To me, this seems like a win/win for both sides. New England gets a veteran receiver who has put up consistent fantasy numbers while on the Falcons (at least 600yds and 4 TDs last three years), and Atlanta gets a high draft pick for a WR3. Considering the value of the draft pick you can almost guarantee Sanu will be a valuable part of this offense. He looks to be thrust into the WR2 position behind Edelman, though Sanu brings the big body (6’1” 211#) New England has been missing.

Another benefit for New England is that Sanu’s health has been great for most of his career. In the last three seasons with Atlanta, Sanu only missed 2 games, and he started all 16 last year. Considering the Patriots' issues with Josh Gordon not being 100%, Phillip Dorsett missing multiple games, N’keal Harry being on IR up to this point, and taking a shot at AB only to have that blow up, this move is safe and looks to be just what the best team in football needs. With all of that in mind, he is also a competent passer (7/8, 233 yds 4 TD). The Patriots have a keeper here!