Fantasy football strategy, rankings, and podcasts

I tell you one thing, if this season is anything like the preseason was, we are in for a roller coaster ride.  There is so much petty stuff going on in the NFL, I swear I feel like I am reading a script to 90210. Ya'll know what I'm talking bout, don't play like you don't, lol.

MORE INJURIES:
Just when you thought it was safe to go back out on the field, BAM, a few more guys get jacked up. Green Bay got a second scare when Randall Cobb took a fall on his shoulder. They originally thought it was a broken collar bone but an MRI showed that it was an AC joint sprain. You guys KNOW, Cobb is NOT missing his chance to shine in GB, come on man, you thought he was going down that easily, not today people, not today. He will be playing.

​RB, Duke Johnson for Cleveland ended up on the bad end of a concussion in the 1st half of Saturday night's win over Tampa Bay. They said that he was ROCKED on a ​hit by Bucs CB Mike Jenkins and could be out for some time. The Browns were putting a lot of hope in Johnson for the season but he hasn't been able to stay healthy. With Johnson's injury and throw in veteran Shaun Draugh and Glenn Winston, this has left the Browns thinner than Olive Oil at the running back position. 2nd year backs Terrance West and Isaiah Crowell have pretty much NOT lived up to expectations and Pettine said the team may consider other options at the position. In a word, some people are about to get the boot. There's more, word is Ray Rice could be one of those options. All Pettine said is, "if we do come to the decision that we need to add a back that is not here, we'll look at the list and see who's open." Talk about not making a firm commitment.

I didn't believe it until just now. They say twins feel each others pain. Well Dolphins Center Mike Pouncey left the game against the Falcons with a knee injury when another player fell on his leg. and will undergo an MRI on Sunday. The injury left the Dolphins with only two OL starter at their regular season. If you recall, his twin brother Maurkice Pouncy, Steelers Center, was cut down early with an ankle injury in preseason week 2, that will require surgery and he is out indefinitely. Hot off the presses today, MIKE Pouncey practices Monday and will be ready for WK1. At least one of them is still standing.

It's not enough that we get some of the worst winters ever, but we [The Bears] are still dropping like flies.  So the Bears cut Tim Jennings, like they got a wide selection of players at any position at this point, but you cut a veteran player who could maybe help some of the youngsters that are coming in. With that being said, we lost the top two nose tackles to injuries during the preseason loss to the Bengals on Saturday. Veteran Jeremiah Ratliff left the game early and when he returned he was wearing a walking boot. The X-rays showed no fracture, but I am sure he will be out a game or two. Then 2nd round rookie Eddie Goldman suffered a concussion. I'm done with the injuries, too many to list anyway, it will never end.

IT'S GET'N HOT IN HERE!!!
OK, so there is a war in the Redskins' locker room. RGIII has been benched for the start of the season, even though his face is on the ticket for WK1. The starting honor now goes to Kirk Cousins, he is the new starting QB for the Redskins. Things have taken such a turn for the worse with the already-dysfunctional relationship between Griffin and the Redskins that reports indicate many high-ranking officials and several coaches want to move on from the quarterback. Sources have also said that the team discussed trading RG3. I heard St. Louis was peeking and another team too, can't remember which one.  But get this, they had an article explaining why RG3 would be a good fit in Chicago. My thoughts: No thank you, we still got some cleaning up to do ourselves.

IT JUST WON'T DIE.
That pesky "jawbreak" is still in the headlines. So my CI told me that the whole thing was about money and a promise not kept. Geno owed Ike $600. Geno promised to come to a charity event for Ike and then he doesn't show up. So Ike just wanted his $600 that he paid for Geno to come and $1000 for his charity. They even threw Mark Sanchez in the mix and said he would have gladly paid Ike back and given him money for the charity.   Come on man, you have an ATM right there in the locker room, but the way Geno's checking and savings is set up............well, you get my point. He paid for it in a more painful way and naturally, the locker room is split. My thoughts: I still think Geno Smith is overrated. Ryan Fitzpatrick will step up now.

As "deflategate" turns. So, Tom Brady's 4 game suspension was overturned. The Judge said that Tom was never told he could be suspended. You mean like if you rob a bank and you go to jail but then they overturn the sentence and let you out of jail because you were never told that you could go to jail for robbing a bank? Really, come on man.  I don't know what Brady did or didn't do, but you guys know that it always comes down to the money. You also know that if Brady doesn't play, it affects the money, do the math with me people.  Goodell was sucker punched on this one. He will NOT attend the season opener with the Patriots going up against the Steelers. Tom said the intern did it!  P.S. Snoop Dogg is not too happy with the judges decision, he's a Steelers fan. The NFL is already working on an appeal, stay tuned.

Speaking of interns.. so RG3 supposedly "liked" a tweet or post, whatever it's called on instagram, bashing the Redskins organization.  RG3 said, no way, you ain't pinning this on me, the INTERN did it. He put a full post on instagram, big ole giant letters saying, "I did not "like" that Post." Which I guess is what folks do when they like a post, lol. Really RG3, kinda sounds like, "I did not have sexual intercourse with that woman." We all know how that turned out. I'm just saying.  Just in this morning, it's 5 teams that are looking at RG3, they all only have slight interest, none have a strong interest.

​FYI: MO FOOTBALL, MO FOOTBALL.
In case you are looking for some really good football shows that showcase a different player/team/coach that played or coached over the years, you might want to check out, "A Football Life" and "30/30".  I have watched a lot of them but a few that really stood out were the ones on Bo Jackson, Jerry Rice, Walter Peyton and Lyle Alzado.  Last night, I watched  "The Book of Manning."  I love P. Manning and I think Eli is cool and I knew their dad Archie played and brought Ole Miss back to life, where Eli followed in his footsteps and attended Ole Miss and broke almost all of his dad's records. Peyton opted for Tennessee which brought him and his dad death threats and all kind of crazy hate mail. Then there was Cooper, the oldest, whose career was cut short by a disease that put him one hit away from a wheel chair, so he left the sports world. I was intrigued by a family where 2 sons of a QB went on to play pro ball, win Super Bowls and were MVP's in Super Bowls. Quick, name another family that has that mix?  If there is one, I would love to read up on them. I know about the Barber and Talib brothers already. Both shows are really good and if you are a football nut like me, you probably already know about these programs. Just my 2 cents.

Last tidbit. The K.C. Chiefs went undefeated this preseason. Did you know that the last 2 times they went undefeated in the preseason, they played in the Super Bowl those years?  No lie, lol. Maybe they will make it to the 50th in 2016.  

Los Angeles Rams

What’s changed since last year? The Rams don’t have any big changes (or even minor ones) on offense to speak of. They let CJ Anderson walk as a free agent (now on the Lions) and they acquired Blake Bortles as a backup QB. Aside from that, what would you expect from a team that won the NFC Championship last season? There’s nothing broken, so don’t try to fix it! Cooper Kupp is on track to return and, had he stuck around all year (extrapolated stats), he would have had 80 catches, 1100+ yards and 12 TDs. This would have made him the WR8 in standard scoring, right between Michael Thomas and JuJu Smith-Schuster. Not bad company, and a good piece to have returning to your team.

Who is the breakout/3^rd year WR on the team? So, Cooper Kupp is a third year WR, but obviously he’s broken out. Last season saw Josh Reynolds fill in for him, and as a 3^rd year WR, he stands poised to step-up, if only he could get past any of the big 3 WRs on the Rams. Kupp, along with Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks have a stranglehold on the position, and without an injury to someone, it will be difficult for Reynolds to actually show what he’s got. I then turn my eyes over to Gerald Everett, 3^rd year TE whom I think will be incorporated into the offense more this season. His receptions more than doubled last year from his rookie season, and he’s still not being drafted (ADP 276, TE31). Everett saw 50 targets last year and if that number can creep closer to the 70-80 mark, then he’s going to be a great low end TE-1 option this year.

Who is a sleeper you can draft? When you take the team that went to the Super Bowl last year and don’t make any changes, your opponents would literally have to be asleep for you to get some real value on them. I will mention that right now, Cooks (ADP 40, WR15, Woods (ADP 41, WR16) and Kupp (ADP 48, WR21) are all on the positive side of draft value right now, but none of them are a steal.

What stud can you draft without hesitation? In the spirit of this question, there isn’t really anyone on the Rams who are a genuine stud, considering Todd Gurley is not the player he once was. Of the three main WRs I mentioned, I think that Cooper Kupp has the best potential to become a top-10 WR, and he’s the “cheapest” of the three, so grab him in the 5^th round if he’s available.

Who could be a waiver pickup during the season? My breakout candidate, Gerald Everett, is unlikely to be drafted in most redraft leagues and will be available for those of you who are planning on streaming TEs this season. If he has a big first couple of games, then he’s likely to wind up sticking on someone’s roster for quite a while, so keep an eye out for him early.

Who are the rookies to know on this team? Will any of them be relevant this year? Third round pick Darrell Henderson is currently on most people’s radar as the successor to Todd Gurley on the Rams. His current ADP of 86 and ranking of 113 shows me that his value is currently upside down and he should be avoided in drafts. The only reason to take him might be as a late round handcuff for Gurley, and that’s if you can get him at a more reasonable spot in the late 11^th or 12^th rounds. Henderson will come along, but let’s not ship Todd Gurley out of town just yet.

Seattle Seahawks

What’s changed since last year? The Seahawks let free agent RB Mike Davis walk, which should aid in clearing up their muddy backfield from last season. Chris Carson (ADP 51, RB21) has a clear path to the #1 spot, with Rashaad Penny (ADP 81, RB33) getting an increased role – I expect this to be a RBBC offense in no time. I also don’t expect either guy to really run away with a bulk of the carries, unless the other one is out with injury. The Seahawks also added one of the most hyped WRs in the draft, DK Metcalf, whom we’ll touch on in a moment. Needless to say, this should provide a boost to the passing game.

Who is the breakout/3^rd year WR on the team? For me, the guy to watch in Seattle is David Moore. Sure, they drafted a new WR, but Moore averaged over 17 yards per reception last season and is now in his third year in the offense. He should have a more active role with Doug Baldwin out of the picture and has a chance to really shine early before Metcalf can establish himself in the offense. His ADP of 286 tells me that he’s basically being ignored by drafters, so he’s available as a flyer at the end of deeper drafts.

Who is a sleeper you can draft? There’s no sleeper recommendations to draft on the Seahawks. Their main players, Lockett, Carson, Wilson and Penny are all being drafted around their rankings, and everyone else worthy of a flier will be available on the waiver wire.

What stud can you draft without hesitation? There’s no sure-fire studs on this team. Russell Wilson is the only one who comes closest, and he’s being drafted towards the end of the 9^th round currently. I’m worried that he’s only cracked 4000 yards in two different seasons, and has never eclipsed 35 passing TDs. He does run the ball a lot, though he ran the ball only 67 times last season, a career low, and had no TDs on the ground. His redeeming stat is that he’s never missed a game in his career. I guess I just gave you all the reasons why their best player is still not a fantasy stud.

Who could be a waiver pickup during the season? I’ve mentioned him a few times now, but David Moore is going to be the hot waiver wire pickup from the Seahawks. Keep an eye out for him early, though if DK Metcalf has a hot start, it’s likely to keep Moore buried on the depth chart. You can also watch for Nick Vannett at TE, the most likely candidate from a really sad bunch of fantasy TEs on the team.

Who are the rookies to know on this team? Will any of them be relevant this year? The Seahawks spent their second round pick on DK Metcalf, a guy who perhaps had the most hype before the draft and then saw his stock really fall during the days leading into the draft. He was finally taken on the second day and is currently listed as a starting WR on their depth chart. His ADP of 112 (WR43) and Rank of 151 really have me hesitant to recommend taking him, as I really don’t see any value in picking him. I do expect him to be fantasy relevant, considering he’s replacing Doug Baldwin.

San Francisco 49ers

What’s changed since last year? Lots have changed for the 49ers! Jimmy Garoppolo is back, one year after tearing his ACL in late September 2018. Based on the QB play that the 49ers got out of Nick Mullens and CJ Beathard last season, having Garoppolo back could rocket their offense to a top 10 spot in the league. The 49ers also acquired Tevin Coleman, who is slated to be the starting RB. This is an offense that showed some huge signs last year and is finally ready to move forward with healthy, first option starters at QB and RB.

Who is the breakout/3^rd year WR on the team? Dante Pettis is a 2^nd year guy who is most poised to have a big break-out season, though his hype is starting to be real all over the internet. His ADP is currently 80 and his consensus ranking is 77, so as a mid-rounder, he has a very high ceiling. Since he really has no rapport with Garoppolo, there is the reality that he does have a low floor, but signs so far in camp have been very positive for Pettis. He’s very likely to keep Marquise Goodwin at bay and will at least start the season ahead of the two rookie WRs that the 49ers drafted.

Who is a sleeper you can draft? Nobody on the 49ers really has proper sleeper value, though I like where you can get Deebo Samuel (ADP 191, WR60) and Jalen Hurd (No ADP) – both rookies. They’re flyers in deep drafts and will definitely be drafted in dynasty formats.

What stud can you draft without hesitation? George Kittle, if you’re not reaching for him, could be your ticket to the fantasy postseason. His ADP of 29 (TE2) and rank of 23 even shows that he’s got a bit of value and I’d endorse taking him pretty much anywhere in the third round, if there’s no one else you like available right there (he’s ranked right next to Antonio Brown, I know who I feel more confident in).

Who could be a waiver pickup during the season? Since Garoppolo has been out for basically an entire season, the WR core for the 49ers is rather up in the air. Marquise Goodwin (ADP 219, WR67) as well as the rookies Samuel and Hurd are all guys who should be available on the waiver wire. Whoever does start to click with Garoppolo is likely to be gone, perhaps before the season even starts, so keep a close eye on these three guys.

Who are the rookies to know on this team? Will any of them be relevant this year? The aforementioned Deebo Samuel, 2^nd round pick, and Jalen Hurd, 3^rd rounder, both will be looking to make their way onto the field this season. Samuel made a highlight reel worthy 45-yard catch over a defender in the first preseason game to set up a TD. Of course, Jalen Hurd would not be outdone and found the end zone twice in the same game. The future is looking good for this rookie combo and they should both find plenty of playing time in what looks like it will be a WR rotation. Once one or both of them gets established, they will certainly be fantasy relevant.

Arizona Cardinals

What’s changed since last year? Is everything a valid answer? Because nearly everything is different for the Arizona Cardinals. They have a new coach, Kliff Kingsbury, a new QB, Kyler Murray, and a hot rookie WR, Andy Isabella. They also got rid of JJ Nelson. The only recognizable parts of the offense are Larry Fitzgerald and David Johnson, though some people with deeper teams already have their eyes on Christian Kirk as well. Most importantly, the play caller and the signal caller are both new and this offense should look completely different than last year’s.

Who is the breakout/3^rd year WR on the team? Christian Kirk is a 2^nd year WR who was drafted in the 2^nd round in 2018. He seems to be a pick to click for many pundits. He had 68 targets last season in 12 games, so over a full season with a bit of a boost, it’s completely reasonable to expect him to get at least 100 targets. The Cardinals were 29^th in the league in pass attempts, a number that’s bound to get a lot better with Kingsbury’s air raid offense. Kirk has an ADP of 77 (WR32) and is a very solid mid round pick up as the first WR off your bench, with potential to be a WR2.

Who is a sleeper you can draft? This is basically a brand new offense this season, so there’s not a lot of options yet. Johnson, Fitz, Kirk and Murray are all being drafted at or near their expected value. There’s nobody I would recommend drafting from the Cardinals as a sleeper.

What stud can you draft without hesitation? There’s about to be a David Johnson renaissance in the desert. Johnson is currently at ADP 5 (RB5), Rank 5 and is basically being placed just outside the tier 1 RBs, but still ahead of any other position players on the board. I know you aren’t going to get great value for Johnson, but his production in a brand new offense that should know how to use an extremely talented and versatile player is too good to pass up. Johnson will be a stud this year, and considering the RB position is top-heavy, he’s the last man on the top that’s worth that early first round pick.

Who could be a waiver pickup during the season? Andy Isabella has an ADP and rank of over 200, so he’s likely to be available on the waiver wire early in the season. Look for him to hook up with fellow rookie Kyler Murray as they try to develop a rapport for when the team needs to eventually replace Larry Fitzgerald. I would also keep an eye on Ricky Seals-Jones at TE since that position is so hard to pin down a top 10 guy there.

Who are the rookies to know on this team? Will any of them be relevant this year? Well, just the first overall pick in the 2019 draft, Kyler Murray. Murray should be starting in week 1 and has already looked good in his first preseason game. He went an efficient 6 of 7 passing for 44 yards before exiting early, as is tradition in week 1 of the preseason. Murray will be the starter all year, and like most rookie starters at QB, is very unlikely to finish as a top 10 guy, but will be relevant as a streaming and backup option, as well as in 2-QB leagues. Andy Isabella was taken in the 2^nd round by the Cardinals, because when you get yourself a Lamborghini, you find some sweet accessories to go along with it. Isabella has a tougher road to regular playing time, but he should find his way on the field for a significant amount of targets this season and will be fantasy relevant by the middle of the year.