Welcome to Statistically (in)Significant, the place to find great stats that probably only matter at the water cooler (or bar). Each week I'll dig through the stats of the week gone by and deliver you some choice conversation starters. All fantasy stats are half PPR scoring unless otherwise noted.
7 of the Top 12 QBs
Quarterback continues to be a volatile position in fantasy football. This certainly has not been the case in years past, but this week alone, 7 of the top 12 QBs by fantasy points are not owned in the Drinkfive league. Part of the issue is that many top guys were out with injury, bye weeks, or...other issues. Another problem is that many top guys under performed - Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes combined for fewer points than Josh Johnson. Of course, credit must go to Josh Johnson, who put up big numbers in the (garbage) time he had vs the Colts on Thursday night. Colt McCoy and Trevor Siemian also get big kudos for turning in good performances in their first starts of the season, finishing as the QB11 and QB12 respectively. Overall, the 7 QBs that are unowned in the top 12 represent just 38% average ownership (in Fleaflicker leagues) - that number also is heavily weighted by Matt Ryan’s 81% ownership rate - he’s a free agent in our league right now. So, the lesson here is that volatility can happen in any fantasy football market, including at the traditionally stable quarterback position. If you planned on streaming QBs this year and didn’t invest draft capital in a QB, you’re definitely benefiting from that decision now.
31.4 Fantasy Point Average for the Top 4 RBs
I’ve been pointing out the lack of production from the top of the running back position over the last few weeks, and especially how there’s tons of production from wide receivers. This week was the opposite of that - maybe they got my message? Anyways, we saw huge performances from James Conner (37.8), Jonathan Taylor (33), Nick Chubb (29.3), and Joe Mixon (25.5). This was better than any wide receiver for the week so far. In fact, the best wide receiver owned in 90% or more of Fleaflicker leagues is Keenan Allen, who finished as the 15th best flex player this week (RB/WR/TE). The top 4 RBs on the week combined for 9 touchdowns, 646 total yards, and averaged nearly 8 yards per touch. Quite the week from all 4 guys, all of whom put up their best fantasy game of the year. Final note - even after that huge week, Jonathan Taylor remains the RB2. Derrick Henry still has both more points and more rushing yards than Taylor.
3 WRs with 2 TDs
It was a down week for wide receivers for sure. Only 3 of them managed to find the end zone twice, and stop me if you’ve heard these names on this column before (you haven’t). Elijah Moore, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Malik Turner all found the end zone twice this week, and none of them managed to go over 100 yards receiving. I wouldn’t expect a repeat performance from any of those three - they are owned in an average of 16% of Fleaflicker leagues. Most of that ownership is probably Elijah Moore in dynasty leagues. Only 4 wide receivers did reach the century mark for receiving yards - the same number of RBs who reached that number of rushing yards. This is the first week where the RBs were able to pace the WRs when it came to games over 100 yards - usually it’s close to a 2:1 ratio in favor of the wideouts.
17.1 Fantasy Points
George Kittle returned to the lineup on Sunday, giving the TE position a much needed boost. In fact, we saw the top 3 drafted tight ends finish 1-2-3 so far on the week. George Kittle was the top finisher, scoring a touchdown and gaining over 100 yards, leading all tight ends in week 9. Travis Kelce was right behind him, and Darren Waller made the most out of his 11 targets, which led all tight ends this week. This is the first time since week 1 of this season that all 3 guys have finished in the top 10 scorers. Of course, after them, 4 of the next 5 TEs were owned in an average of less than 4% of Fleaflicker leagues. This just goes to show that all it takes to be a decent fantasy tight end is that you find the end zone. In fact, 8 of the top 10 TEs did find the end zone, and the #10 guy who didn’t, Jared Cook, at least was able to get a few points from a 2-point conversion
10 D/STs over 10 points
10 points is a great benchmark for your defense/special teams slot. If you can get 10 or more points, you should definitely be happy. This week, there were plenty of opportunities for you to land a D/ST that could do that for you, but only if you chose wisely. The top team this week were the New England Patriots, the team that consistently just drinks Sam Darnold’s milkshake. The Pats put up 20 points with 3 picks (one of them a pick-six), a sack, and only 6 points allowed. Then it gets interesting. If you had the guts to pick against some of the top offenses in the league, then you stood a great chance of doing well. The Browns (vs CIN), Jaguars (vs BUF), and the Titans (@ LAR) all were able to score at least 16 fantasy points for you. Those three D/STs combined for 6 interceptions, 14 sacks, 2 defensive TDs, 2 fumble recoveries, and an average of just 13 points allowed. One other crazy thing about this week’s D/ST stats - the Texans and Dolphins played against each other and both teams scored at least 15 points against the opposing offense. Truly, that was a game that should have been played on Thursday night.
Welcome to Statistically (in)Significant, the place to find great stats that probably only matter at the water cooler (or bar). Each week I'll dig through the stats of the week gone by and deliver you some choice conversation starters. All fantasy stats are half PPR scoring unless otherwise noted.
16 Total TDs
Jonathan Taylor is the RB1 on the season, and the second highest scoring player among all fantasy football players. He and Josh Allen have supplanted Jalen Hurts at the top of the overall list, and now I can stop trash talking Jalen Hurts and let him just be bad in Philadelphia. Oops, maybe I’ll stop now. Anyways, Taylor has a league leading 16 total TDs on the season. He also leads the league in yards from scrimmage with 1,541. He has 35 more fantasy points than the next highest non-QB, Cooper Kupp – though Kupp has had a bye, and Taylor’s is coming up in Week 14. Taylor has an average of 22.2 points per game, still shy of Derrick Henry (still the 7th highest point total among non-QBs) – who would just be the biggest story in the NFL if he had remained healthy and continued the pace that he was on. Back to Taylor, who nearly had a remarkable record. Last week he tied LaDanian Tomlinson with 8 straight games of 100+ scrimmage yards and 1 TD. In week 12, he came just 3 yards short of extending that streak to a record breaking 9 games.
2 Receptions for the WR1
This week’s stupid technicality stat comes to us courtesy of the most impressive hybrid player in the league, Cordarrelle Patterson. Patterson has had RB and WR eligibility the entire season, and it makes sense, because he’s both! He is the WR7 on the season and the RB8, yet he only has one game over 100 receiving yards, and 1 game – this week – over 100 rushing yards. He does have 6 games over 100 total yards (including return yards, he really does do it all) and has 9 total touchdowns. He’s achieved at quite a high level all year and has huge season long totals, despite having missed one week on bye, and another week with an injury. It’s very rare for a player to finally break out in his 9th season, on his 5th team. Patterson is someone that offensive coordinators have tried to unlock all over the league, and it’s one of the least likely storylines this season that the Falcons offense, of all teams, have managed to figure out how to make him one of the top 10 offensive weapons in the entire league. Perhaps the credit should fall to Patterson himself, considering the Falcons offense is 27th in total points and 26th in total yards.
10 TEs over 10 Points
Most weeks you can find 8-10 TEs scoring at least double-digit points, so that’s perhaps not the most impressive stat I can provide you here. What I am proud of is that 6 of those 10 tight ends are owned in the drinkfive fantasy league. Unfortunately, none of the next 10 are rostered, giving us a 30% hit rate among the top 20 tight ends for week 12. In a cruel twist of ownership, 8 of the top 11 TEs that are the most owned TEs in all of Fleaflicker scored just 4.3 points or fewer (Darren Waller gets the ominous distinction of being the tallest…er…bad tight end this week). Jack Doyle led the way this week, in the second lowest TE1 score that we’ve seen all season long (T.J. Hockenson’s 13.9 points in week 8 get that award). Tonight’s game should see the return of Logan Thomas, who averaged 9 points per game, so at least there’s a bit of quality returning to the TE pool.
2 Losing Teams Over 200 Rushing Yards
Back when the NFL was a run-heavy league, a team that got to 200+ rushing yards was almost guaranteed a win. This week, the Philadelphia Eagles and the Tennessee Titans both dominated their opponents on the ground, but were unable to turn that into control of the game. They both lacked a clear lead in the time of possession, and ultimately, on the scoreboard. The only other team that rushed for at least 200 yards was the San Fransisco 49ers, who did dominate the time of possession, still needed to cash in on two quick turnovers by the Vikings in the 3rd quarter to take control of the game in order to use the rushing attack to their advantage. In both the Eagles’ and Titans’ case, their problem was terrible QB play that prevented them from scoring points. Neither team could top 130 yards passing, both of them threw the ball to the other team, and both had an abysmal completion percentage to boot. The NFL is a game of passing attacks with the run game complimenting it, just ask the Raiders with Derek Carr’s 6-0 record when he throws for at least 300 yards. They are 0-5 when he does not reach the 300-yard mark.
2 TDs in 4 Straight Games
Joe Mixon is quietly keeping his team firmly in the playoff chase with a feat that has not been seen for 15 years in the NFL. Mixon has 2 touchdowns in 4 consecutive games now, with 13 total on the season. Mixon has scored every single week since week 4, and only has 2 games this season where he did not find the end zone. He has at least 23 fantasy points in 5 of his last 6 games and is now sitting as the RB3 on the season. He is just one of 5 non-QBs that have eclipsed the 200-point mark for the season. He has picked up where his rookie teammate Ja’Marr Chase has left off. Chase started out the season on a tear, but has not gone over 50 yards in each of his last 4 games (since he blew up for 201 yards) and those are his 4 lowest totals on the season. Joe Burrow, likewise, has struggled lately, throwing only 2 TDs in the last 3 games, with 3 INT over that same time period (one of those going back to the house the other way). Mixon IS the Bengals offense at this point, and has a matchup coming up against the Chargers, giving up the 5th most points to opposing RBs.
Welcome to Statistically (in)Significant, the place to find great stats that probably only matter at the water cooler (or bar). Each week I'll dig through the stats of the week gone by and deliver you some choice conversation starters. All fantasy stats are half PPR scoring unless otherwise noted.
2.04 Points Per Touch
That’s a hell of a lot of points to gain every single time you touch the ball. When you gain over two points, on average, across an entire game, that’s incredible. When you do that after 26 touches, it means you’ve had a hell of a day. Joe Mixon lit up my fantasy league, your fantasy league – everybody’s fantasy leagues this week. 22 carries, 153 rushing yards, 4 rushing TDs, 4 receptions, 58 receiving yards, and one more receiving touchdown marks the best game he’s had in his career. It’s a top-10 all-time fantasy performance. He scored more than the RB2 and the RB3 combined. More than halfway through his season, he scored 34.8% of his total points. He’s now the RB4 on the season – he would have been as low as the RB18 going into the week. Mixon completely overshadowed a QB who is starting to become a genuine fantasy breakout.
178 Rushing Yards
There was only one player who had more rushing yards than Joe Mixon, and it wasn’t a running back. Justin Fields topped anything that Lamar Jackson has done this season. OK, by 0.1 points, but the hyperbole is irresistible. Fields set a new record – the most rushing yards by a QB in a regular season game (only 3 yards shy of tying the all-time record). Fields has the most fantasy points by a QB over the last 5 weeks, and over the last 3 weeks, he’s stomping on the competition by over 20 total points. So, though it’s happening slowly, the Bears are slowly working a bit more passing into their offense as they’re starting to really click. This week they only ran the ball 58% of the time, considerably down from the 67% they were at when we checked in with them earlier in the season. I wish I could buy stock in Kool-Aid in Chicago right now because everybody around here is drinking it. Fields is trending up, scoring more points than his previous game in each of the last 6 weeks.
3 Straight 100+ Yard Games
Over the last 3 weeks, Travis Etienne has 379 rushing yards, topping 100 in each of those games. Only Derrick Henry has more during that stretch (he’s averaging 150+ during that stretch and has 5 of 100+), but this isn’t about Henry. This entry is about Etienne, a player who is practically a rookie, considering he did not see a single snap last season. He’s finally getting the ball a lot more, with his 3 highest totals of carries over this 3-game stretch. He has scored 4 touchdowns during this time, with his first career score coming back in week 7. Etienne is finally becoming a central focus of the Jaguars' offense and has the backfield almost all to himself after James Robinson was traded to the Jets. Once he can get into a good groove with the passing game, he will be a top-10 RB.
122.7 Receiving Yards per Game
Tyreek Hill is having a hell of a season. Through 9 games, he has a stat line that most players would like to see at the end of the year. Hill already has been targeted 100 times for 76 receptions and 1,104 yards. He’s on pace for over 2,000 yards – 2,085 to be exact. The record was set by Calvin Johnson with 1,964 back in 2012. In many categories, Hill’s stats are better this year than he ever had in Kansas City with Mahomes as his QB. He’s got the highest catch percentage of his career, averaging nearly 2 receptions per game above his career high. He has more than a 30 yards per game average than his best season. Hill is a huge reason that the Miami passing game has exploded. Quietly, they have the second-most passing yards in the league and the third-most passing touchdowns. They’re being incredibly efficient considering they have the 15th most passing attempts.
31.8 Fantasy Points in the Last Three Weeks
So maybe we’re playing with some by weeks, but as long as I admit that up front, I can use this one – right? Cole Kmet is leading all TEs in total points over the last 3 weeks (though Juwan Johnson is giving him a good challenge, late on Monday night), mostly due to the two touchdowns he scored this week. Kmet’s week 9 total is nearly as many points as he has scored in the last 4 weeks combined. He also had season highs in both receptions and targets, along with his second-highest receiving yardage total. Kmet is looking like he could be a viable weekly starting TE for the rest of the season, provided the Bears' offense keeps looking like a competent NFL team, rather than a team that was far too imbalanced earlier in the year.