Confidence Picks

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30
September

NFL Confidence Pool Picks & Strategy 2021 - Week 4

Well, here we are, the week with the game that everyone circled as soon as the schedule was announced back in the spring…The Return! I think we are all looking forward to see the reception the scorned city will give. Cheers? Boos? Tears? We’ll all find out in prime time…on Monday when the Raiders return to Los Angeles after playing nearly 15 season there a few decades ago.

What? … … … is there a more relevant and timely return this week?

Week 4 – HERE WE GO!!!!

(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

16 – BUFFALO over Houston – Deshaun Watson isn’t walking through that door anytime soon…and it probably wouldn’t help anyway.

15 – CINCINNATI over Jacksonville – After this week, Trevor Lawrence will have lost as many games in four weeks in the NFL as he did in his entire time in college…AND high school!

14 – Tennessee over NEW YORK JETS – No AJ Brown, possibly no Julio Jones…but if you still have Derrick Henry, the Jets won’t be a problem.

13 – GREEN BAY over Pittsburgh – Safe to say the Steelers front office is realizing that this era is coming to an end. My BOLD PREDICTION for this week is that THE STEELERS WILL FINISH UNDER .500.

12 – Baltimore over DENVER – Can’t play the bottom of the league’s barrel every week, Denver.

11 – Tampa Bay over NEW ENGLAND – I wonder if Gronk is sad that no one outside of his family is talking about HIS return to Gillette Stadium.

10 – NEW ORLEANS over New York Giants – I really want to think that this will be a good game…but then I remember…the Giants.

9 – DALLAS over Carolina – This will definitely be a game where the Panthers miss Christian McCaffrey.

8 – MIAMI over Indianapolis - The Colts should be better than they are. If they turn it around this year, it won’t start this week.

7 – Seattle over SAN FRANCISCO – It’s hard for me to think Seattle will lose three games in a row. After last week, it’s pretty easy for me to think that the 9ers can blow a game again.

6 – LOS ANGELES RAMS over Arizona – These two teams are just going to be fun to watch! If you are a bettor, take the over!

5 – Las Vegas over LOS ANGELES CHARGERS – Yes it’s a “road” game, but SoFi Stadium is expected to be 75% Raiders fans on Monday Night.

4 – Kansas City over PHILADELPHIA – It might sound crazy, but then again maybe it doesn’t. If you wanted to pick the Eagles to win this game, I wouldn’t be mad at you!

3 – MINNESOTA over Cleveland – If Dalvin Cook is ready to go, you can bump this up a few lines if you want.

2 – Washington over ATLANTA – I have nothing entertaining to say here…which is pretty fitting for this matchup I think.

1 – CHICAGO over Detroit – It’s a no-lose situation for Bears fans. If you win, hey you won a football game! If not, then it’s hard to see Matt Nagy on the sidelines for Week 5 let alone a new Arlington Heights stadium!

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07
October

NFL Confidence Pool Picks & Strategy 2021 - Week 5

Published in Fantasy Football / NFL

As we head into week 5, we also head into another feature of the NFL schedule – the London Games!

This week, in a game that starts at 8:30 CST, the league was kind enough to schedule the Falcons and the Jets so that if we oversleep,

it’s OK…it’s the Falcons and the Jets!

Week 5 – HERE WE GO!!!!

(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

16 – TAMPA BAY over Miami – Now that the New England is in the rearview, Tom Brad can just focus on winning…that’s a little scary.

15 – MINNESOTA over Detroit – Yes the Vikings lost at home last week, but it still seems like they are one of the most underrated teams in the league.

14 – LOS ANGELES CHARGERS over Cleveland – The Chargers proved last week that they are the team to beat in one of the league’s most competitive divisions.

13 – DALLAS over New York Giants – Not really sure why Jaylon Smith was cut, but a hit to the defense shouldn’t be an issue against the Giants.

12 – CAROLINA over Philadelphia – I have no faith in Jalen Hurts or the Eagles this season. In the lowest of lowly divisions, my BOLD PREDICTION is that THE EAGLES WILL FINISH LAST IN THE NFC EAST,

11 – BALTIMORE over Indianapolis – The city of Baltimore will FINALLY get revenge on the franchise that left them years ago! (I legit didn’t have anything to say about this game)

10 – ARIZONA over San Francisco – I would put the Cardinals higher if it wasn’t for a potential Trey Lance start.

9 – LAS VEGAS over Chicago – I’m not comparing them to Garrett and Clowney in Cleveland, but Yannick Ngakoue and Maxx Crosby will probably be making it a similar rough time for the Bears’ new QB1.

8 – Tennessee over JACKSONVILLE – When you lose to the Jets, you don’t get to have double-digit number confidence against the Jags.

7 – PITTSBURGH over Denver – The Steelers should just be lucky this is a home game.

6 – KANSAS CITY over Buffalo – The AFC Championship should end the same way as it did last January.

5 – SEATTLE over Los Angeles Rams – Finally a fun Thursday game to start the week off!

4 – New Orleans over WASHINGTON – This just seems like one of those matchups that Winston will find a way to win.

3 – New England over HOUSTON – If Tyrod Taylor were playing I would probably pick Houston in this one.

2 – CINCINNATI over Green Bay – Pure hunch on this one.

1 – New York Jets over ATLANTA – Not having any receivers cross the pond with you makes it hard to win a game.

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28
October

NFL Confidence Pool Picks & Strategy 2021 - Week 8

Published in Fantasy Football / NFL

I know what you are thinking, why am I bothering this week?

Why bother posting something this week since the NFL is taking a week off?

I completely understand why you would think that – it doesn’t really seem like the NFL will be playing any games this weekend.

Actually though, when I looked into it a little deeper, while the Raiders bye week does seem like no other game will happen, there will be a near-full slate of games, You’ll just have to wait an additional seven days to see the silver and black again.

I’m so sorry! BUT, we move on!

Week 8 – HERE WE GO!!!!

(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

15 – BUFFALO over Miami – Tua says that he is confident that he is the Dolphins number one choice for their QB…yeah I don’t believe it either.

14 – Los Angeles Rams over HOUSTON – Brandin Cooks literally called out the BS of the Texans organization this week – not a good mindset to have when the Rams come to town.

13 – KANSAS CITY over New York Giants – OK, if the Chiefs can’t pull a Monday Night home win over the Giants off, then we can officially write them off this season.

12 – Cincinnati over NEW YORK JETS – The Bengals are legit – seems like this season they will have the rest of the AFC North Chase-ing them (see what I did there?)

11 – CLEVELAND over Pittsburgh – In their first meeting since last season’s playoff upset, it’s hard to see the outcome being any different.

10 – LOS ANGELES CHARGERS over New England – Last week might have been the Mac Jones coming out party, but it won’t be enough in LA.

9 – ARIZONA over Green Bay – Arguably the best game of the Thursday Night schedule – unfortunately COVID has made it so Aaron Rodgers won’t be able to throw the ball to anybody.

8 – San Francisco over CHICAGO – Even with Matt Nagy off of the sidelines, it’s hard to pick the Bears.

7 – ATLANTA over Carolina – It seems as though the real Sam Darnold has indeed stood up.

6 – SEATTLE over Jacksonville – Geno Smith has come so close in the last two weeks, a home game against the Jags should be enough to get him over the hump.

5 – Tampa Bay over NEW ORLEANS – The Bucs stumbled in New Orleans last season and I was thinking about picking the upset here, but then remembered that Jameis Winston is not Drew Brees.

4 – Washington over DENVER – Stop me if you’ve heard this, but the Broncos aren’t good! My BOLD PREDICTION for this week is AFTER A 3-0 START, THE BRONCOS WILL FINISH WITH A TOP 5 PICK IN THE DRAFT NEXT YEAR.

3 – Philadelphia over DETROIT – It would make sense to think the Lions will get their first win here, but then you have to remember…Lions gonna Lions.

2 – INDIANAPOLIS over Tennessee – This just seems like a cool off game for the Titans after beating the Chiefs and Bills the last two weeks.

1 – MINNESOTA over Dallas – Apparently Dak’s health a question mark, which should be the opening the Vikings need.

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04
November

NFL Confidence Pool Picks & Strategy 2021 - Week 9

Published in Fantasy Football / NFL

Trades…vaccination issues…felony car crashes…MVP’s lost for the season…teams telling stars to just go home…don’t you just hate how boring the week can be before we get to the next Sunday?

Well let’s try to get some for excitement back and get going with these picks!

Week 9 – HERE WE GO!!!!

(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

14 – DALLAS over Denver – Much to the dismay of, well, basically everyone outside of Dallas, it seem like this Cowboys team is legit.

13 – Buffalo over JACKSONVILLE – An obvious candidate for our top line this week, but its hard to 100% trust a road team.

12 – NEW ORLEANS over Atlanta – Sure there are QB questions in New Orleans now, but there are way more issues in Atlanta right now.

11 – KANSAS CITY over Green Bay – Obviously there is one big factor to think of when picking this game…game time temp…right?

10 – LOS ANGELES RAMS over Tennessee – A prime time game against one of the best looking teams in the league is not the best time to lose your MVP running back.

9 – PITTSBURGH over Chicago – The Steelers showed that they won’t just be rolling over and dying this season last week – not good news for a struggling Bears team.

8 – INDIANAPOLIS over New York Jets – It’s really hard to think that the Jets can run on Mike White’s magic again.

7 – CINCINNATI over Cleveland – The Browns just seem to have too much locker room drama to win in Cincy.

6 – BALTIMORE over Minnesota – I’ve been on the Viking bandwagon most of the season…losing to Cooper Rush is a quick way for me to jump off.

5 – MIAMI over Houston – With all the trade rumors behind him, I see a big day for the current Miami quarterback. My BOLD PREDICTION for this week is that TUA WILL FINISH WITH OVER 400 PASSIG YARDS.

4 – Las Vegas over NEW YORK GIANTS – Welp, the Raiders won their last “after a rough week” game following the Gruden following, playing the Giants is a reason to think they can do it again.

3 – New England over CAROLINA – If Christian McCaffrey ends up playing, feel free to flip this one to a Carolina win.

2 – PHILADELPHIA over Los Angeles Chargers – Last week gave me reason to pump some breaks on the Chargers being an elite team.

1 – SAN FRANCISCO over Arizona – It sounds like injuries are catching up to the Cardinals.