Fantasy football strategy, rankings, and podcasts

Welcome to Statistically (in)Significant, the place to find great stats that probably only matter at the water cooler (or bar). Each week I'll dig through the stats of the week gone by and deliver you some choice conversation starters. All fantasy stats are half PPR scoring unless otherwise noted.

10 for 10 on Field Goals

Also, 5 for 5 on extra points. This week saw the two kickers top the season-long scoring charts, and go perfect along the way. Brett Maher kicked 4 field goals and 4 extra points as the Cowboys destroyed the Vikings. His 23 fantasy points are better than anyone in the first 10 weeks of the season. Tyler Bass, meanwhile, made the most out of not having to kick outdoors in 6’ of snow. He went 6 for 6 on field goal attempts and, appropriately, added an extra point. Bass’s 26-point performance is the best of any kicker this season, with Maher’s week 11 the second best. Bass was the 10^th highest-scoring player in all of fantasy football this week. He scored the most fantasy points in his game and Jacoby Brissett was right behind him at 25.86 points. If you had Bass and Brissett as the two highest scorers in a game that included Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, and Nick Chubb, then I’m calling you a liar.

10’s Wild

Derrick Henry has 10 rushing touchdowns on the season and 1,010 rushing yards so far. A very nice total after 10 games in the season. Henry has 7 games over 15 fantasy points, after starting the season with 2 games under 9 points. Six of those games are over 22 points. Three of his last four games have two touchdowns each (one of those a passing score this week). Henry is now the fifth player in history to rush for at least 10 touchdowns in five straight seasons. He’s the RB2 on the season, just 1.54 points behind Austin Ekeler, without ever leading the league in scoring in a given week.

11 Receiving Touchdowns

Travis Kelce leads the league in receiving touchdowns. His 3 on Sunday night, including the seemingly inevitable game-winner late in the 4^th quarter. He’s now at 11 receiving scores on the season and just utterly dominating at his position. He’s the 4^th highest-scoring non-QB fantasy player, but what’s perhaps more amazing is that he’s ahead of the TE2 by an astonishing 78.7 points. Mark Andrews, the TE2, has only 58% of Travis Kelce’s season-long point total. Kelce is officially an all-time great, as if there was any doubt, when he passed the one and only Gronk for most 100-yard receiving games by a TE in league history.

11 QBs with 20+ Points

For the second time this season, 11 QBs scored at least 20 fantasy points in one week. As of halftime on Monday night, Jimmy Garoppolo has a shot at being the 12^th, which would be the high-water mark of this season. Included in these 11 QBs is Joe Burrow, topping the weekly list for the third time this year. Jacoby Brissett and Andy Dalton, are on an average of just 34% of rosters. Justin Fields for his 6^th straight top-10 finish. And, though he’s pushed it the last two games, did not include Aaron Rodgers in the realm of 20-point scorers, yet again, like he has…all season long.

$20 Million in Salary Cap

If you told Jerry Jones that the $20 million in cap space that he’s devoting to the running back position produced 6 touchdowns and 573 yards from scrimmage from just one of the players, he might be pretty happy. If you told him that all that production comes from the guy who is using up less than 6% of that cap space, well, maybe his eyes might finally pop out of his head. Tony Pollard has been outstanding in his contract year with the Cowboys. While Ezekiel Elliott is looking at getting his contract picked up or not, Pollard is looking at dollar signs coming up in 2023. Pollard put up his second 33-point fantasy performance this season and is now the RB8 on the season – a far cry from his ADP of RB35. This guy is someone who is propelling your team to the playoffs if you landed him in the second half of your draft.

People are talking about the Madden Cruse being the issue with Josh Allen and the Bills this season.

I get that, it’s been around for a while…but what about the new curse that seems to be making its presence known this season … the Bold Prediction Curse! (dun dun dunnnnnnnnnnn)

Last week’s Bold Prediction was about the Ravens winning the AFC – they then proceed to lose to the Browns at home. This is not the first time something like this has happened this year.

My best to the recipient of this week’s Bold Prediction!

Week 11 – HERE WE GO!!!!

(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

14 – DETROIT over Chicago – The Lions are at the top of our list this week … … … enjoy, Detroit!

13 – MIAMI over Las Vegas – If McDaniels were still coach, this would be worse than 70 point drubbing the Dolphins gave Denver earlier this season.

12 – HOUSTON over Arizona – Welp, it’s been fun Texans – my BOLD PREDICTION for this week is that THE TEXANS WILL MAKE THE PLAYOFFS.

11 – SAN FRANCISCO over Tampa Bay – I can see Christian McCaffrey getting at least six touchdowns this week.

10 – Dallas over CAROLINA – The Cowboys defense is just going to have fun in this one.

9 – CLEVELAND over Pittsburgh – I’d say that I’m a believer in the Browns, but that statement is at least delayed with the Deshaun Watson injury.

8 – BALTIMORE over Cincinnati – After last week I don’t think Ravens fans want me to say anything positive.

7 – Seattle over LOS ANGELES RAMS – Safe to say the Rams are closer to the Cardinals in the division than they are Seattle and San Francisco

6 – Los Angeles Chargers over GREEN BAY – Jordan Love can’t keep up with the Chargers offense.

5 – JACKSONVILLE over Tennessee – Trevor Lawrence said the offense didn’t know what they were doing last week … … … that worries me

4 – BUFFALO over New York Jets – What are the Bills doing this low on the list??

3 – KANSAS CITY over Philadelphia – It wasn’t a holding call in February

2 – DENVER over Minnesota – This game should not be as exciting as it probably will be

1 – WASHINGTON over New York Giants – This just seems like a game the Giants can sneak away with. Why? … … … got nothing

Don’t look now but we are getting close to the end of the season.

If you are somewhere in the middle of your season long pool, now is the time to start making your move! Though, if you have been following the picks here – obviously you are towards the top :)

So let’s keep it rolling!

Week 11 – HERE WE GO!!!!

(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

14 – DETROIT over Jacksonville – I feel like the Lions are what the Jaguars were supposed to be

13 – MIAMI over Las Vegas – (looks at 2025 NFL Mock Drafts to see the next Raiders quarterback)

12 – SAN FRANCISCO over Seattle – On behalf of one-win fantasy owners everywhere, welcome back CMC!

11 – Houston over DALLAS – At least it’s a night game so the open window in Jerry World won’t be an issue this week.

10 – LOS ANGELES CHARGERS over Cincinnati – The Bengals can put up numbers, just not enough points.

9 – Green Bay over CHICAGO – Changes on the Lakefront happened too late. Between that and a difficult remaining schedule, my BOLD PREDICTION for this week is that THE BEARS WILL HAVE A TOP 5 PICK IN NEXT YEARS DRAFT.

8 – NEW ORLEANS over Cleveland – This is a needed get-right game for the Saints offense – MVS isn’t a lasting answer.

7 – Minnesota over TENNESSEE – It’s gonna be hard to pick the Titans the rest of the season.

6 – BUFFALO over Kansas City – There’s a small chance this could very well be an entertaining game.

5 – Baltimore over PITTSBURGH – I’m probably making a mistake not having faith in the Steelers at this point, yet here we are.

4 – PHILADELPHIA over Washington – Potential for another competitive game on Amazon? What world are we in?

3 – DENVER over Atlanta – I can’t remember there being a game with two teams who I can get an accurate read on less.

2 – NEW ENGLAND over Los Angeles Rams – Pure hunch on this one.

1 – Indianapolis over NEW YORK JETS – The Colts believe in Anthony Richardson again, so I’ll believe in him as well.