Fantasy football strategy, rankings, and podcasts

Entering Week 10 of the Fantasy Football season, some teams have already been eliminated from contention. For most teams, this is the key part of the season and the next few weeks will determine whether or not you make the playoffs or even receive an all-important bye! Jason and Dave will discuss player pickups that could change the trajectory of your season, or raise your team to another level. We'll also touch on some players that started off as highly desirable this season but are on the verge of being dropped in most leagues - feel free to consult This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. or ask us your lineup questions @drinkfive on Twitter. Best of luck going forward!

Listen to the Fantasy Finish Line, 11/07/2018: Playoff Run!

Subscribe to our podcast on iTunes to get notifications whenever we release a new episode. We also broadcast the shows live at http://www.mixlr.com/drinkfive on Wednesday nights. Feel free to browse over and join in the discussion in the chat room!

Yeah, that's right. The Situation Room. Welcome to Week 1 of the 2019 Fantasy Football season.. no more preseason games that don't count toward winning that big, bad championship trophy. Tonight we'll discuss situations to monitor (positional battles, contract holdouts, etc) this week as we head into the first games of the season, as well as waiver wire pickups if applicable, and players that jump out at us according to our rankings.

Can you guess the musical theme for this podcast? Contact us via email with your guess and we'll send a prize out to the first person to guess correctly. Cheers! Feel free to consult This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. or ask us your lineup questions @drinkfive on Twitter. Best of luck going forward!

Listen to the Fantasy Finish Line, 9/5/2019: Week 1 Preview: The Situation Room

Subscribe to our podcast on iTunes to get notifications whenever we release a new episode. We also broadcast the shows live at http://www.mixlr.com/drinkfive on Wednesday nights. Feel free to browse over and join in the discussion in the chat room!

We’re now through 10 weeks of the NFL season and if your team resembles the one that you drafted, then count yourself among the lucky few. For the rest of us, swapping players out due to ineffectiveness and injury is the only way to fill out the roster. Tonight we’ll look at several players who are being moved up the depth chart to replaced players who have been injured and will be out several weeks, or players who are just ineffective, or both!

Duke Johnson (RB-HOU) – David Johnson was put on the IR before last week’s game, paving the way for Duke Johnson (no relation) to take over the backfield. Unfortunately for Duke, his team could only muster 7 points and he did not do much with his 14 carries. Going forward for at least the next couple of weeks, I do expect Duke’s usage to remain a consistent 15-20 touches per week. This season he is averaging only 3.1 yards per carry, down from last year’s 4.9 and his career average of 4.3. David Johnson was only averaging 4.0 yards per carry this season anyways, so it’s not like he was lighting up the world. While David is out, Duke’s only real challenge to carries will come from Deshaun Watson, who has 25 carries over the last 3 weeks. Getting Duke in the lineup next week against the Patriots isn’t a bad idea, and getting him in the following week against the Lions is essential. After that, they play Indy twice, separated by a game in Chicago, so you’re going to want to look elsewhere until his week 16 matchup against Cincy.

Giovani Bernard (RB-CIN) – Joe Mixon has now missed 3 straight games with his foot injury, suffered against the Colts back in week 6. Each week we get the standard ‘Mixon didn’t practice’ blurb from all the Bengals beat reporters. Zac Taylor has been cautious in general about injuries on the team, bringing people like A.J. Green and Geno Atkins back up to speed slowly, and I expect more of the same here. As of today, Mixon is not practicing or even out on the rehab field – makes me wonder if he’s headed for the IR since the Bengals are way out of the playoff picture and they just signed him to a large extension. Fine for dynasty squads, not so great for your redraft league where you most likely selected Mixon as a top-10 RB. Meanwhile, Giovani Bernard has been the 10^th highest scoring RB in half-PPR from weeks 7-10, and that is including the Bengals’ week 9 bye week where he was just playing Madden and smokin’ a joint. Shhh… don’t tell anyone I told you. Washington is middle of the road against RBs, but Bernard is a multi-faceted threat on a team that is going to dump off to him more than normal. He can be started with confidence this week. The issues here to worry about, of course, are Joe Mixon coming back this week, or even soon, which seems unlikely according to my magic-8-ball, and also 2^nd year RB Trayveon Williams capturing some of Bernard’s work. Williams was able to turn 5 rushes into 22 yards against the Steelers in week 10 and looked fresh out there. He should, those are first 5 carries he’s ever had in the NFL since he sustained a foot injury in a 2019 preseason game. Woohoo!

Salvon Ahmed (RB-MIA) – Salvon Ahmed has only appeared in 2 NFL games in his career. Last week, and Week 9 in Arizona. Last week he did see a healthy 21 carry game, turning it into 85 yards and a touchdown. Ahmed finds himself atop a depth chart that features an injured Matt Breida, a useless DeAndre Washington, and Patrick Laird, who hasn’t even been in on 20% of Miami’s snaps in a single game this season. Couple that with Jordan Howard being cut, and apparently Salvon Ahmed is second UDFA in Florida to be given the top spot of a backfield. He should be featured heavily in most games for now, considering a frequent run game is always a good compliment to a rookie QB. Ahmed may need to fight for carries with Myles Gaskin when he returns from IR and Matt Breida if he ever finds his way back into the lineup. Until then, Ahmed is the first option in the running game on the team, and could retain that spot with another strong performance this week against Denver, who gave up 20+ points to 2 different backs on the Raiders last week.

Michael Pittman (WR-IND) – Who’s the WR1 on the Colts? Because you would think it was T.Y. Hilton. And that’s what his grandma thought before the season started as well, but it looks like 2^nd round rookie Michael Pittman is making a good case for the job. Last week he caught 7 of 8 targets for 101 yards and rushed once for 21 yards. Meanwhile, Hilton has yet to break 70 yards or score a TD in any game so far this year. Yikes. After being drafted this year, experts (myself included) had Pittman behind both Hilton and 2019 2^nd rounder Parris Campbell, who injured his PCL in week 2 and may be back later this season but has yet to practice. Since Hilton has underperformed and Campbell has been unavailable, I think it’s time to call Pittman a surprise WR1 who should enjoy the lion’s share of targets going forward. I don’t see Zach Pascal as competition here, and the only 40% owned (in Fleaflicker) Pittman is a steal right now that could help you win the ‘ship.

Jameis Winston (QB-NO) – Last week Drew Brees went down, and he went down very hard. Brees looked every bit his age when he was sacked on a play that ultimately fractured several ribs and collapsed his lung. Brees will be out, conservatively, for a few weeks, and possibly for the rest of the regular season. This leads us to examine the Saints interesting QB group. Everybody knows about their favorite gadget player, Taysom Hill, but Hill does not seem to be in line to start and play every snap at QB considering he did not do so last year. When Brees went down in 2019, it was Teddy Bridgewater, and not Hill, who started 5 games in Brees’s absence.  This time around, I expect that replacement to be Jameis Winston. Right now, the Saints need to jumpstart their downfield passing game, and Winston is the perfect QB to do that. Last week, Winston was just getting his feet under him, going 6 for 10 for 63 yards, but I expect last year’s passing yardage leader to do a lot more than that against the Falcons next week. Sure it’s partly because Winston is actually an NFL QB and Taysom Hill is still just a gadget player, but I also like the fact that the Falcons are giving up the most points to opposing QBs. Their opponent the following week, Denver, is nothing special against the pass, and then they get the Falcons again in Week 13. If you’re a QB streamer, or in a 2 QB league, then Jameis Winston should be in your starting lineup this week. Now, you just need to pay attention to the news in case the Saints throw in the towel on the year and start Hill.

Jakeem Grant (WR-MIA) – Preston Williams suffered a knee injury in week 9 against the Cardinals and was put on IR. Granted, Williams wasn’t providing earth-shaking production at the position, but he has scored 4 TDs and has been an integral part of the Dolphins’ passing attack throughout the season. With Tua Tagovailoa taking over under center the offense has looked different, and as we know about the ascent of rookie QBs from over the years, they can change the whole look of the offense. Jakeem Grant came in as a new cog and immediately caught 4 of 5 targets for 43-yards and a TD against the Chargers. The speedy WR ran a 4.38 40-yard dash and is exactly the kind of big play receiver that Tua needs to continue his march toward the playoffs this year. While the Dolphins did just sign former Browns’ WR Antonio Callaway to the roster, he has yet to record any fantasy points this year and it wouldn’t be a surprise for him to now be behind a Grant that is quickly building chemistry with Tua.

Kalen Ballage (RB-LAC) – Cut from the Jets in October and picked up on the Chargers practice squad, Kalen Ballage has suddenly found himself with lots to do over the last two weeks due to the Chargers depleted backfield. In the last 2 games, he has received 33 carries and 9 targets. In week 10, he ran 22 pass routes and was in on 73% of the offensive snaps. Ballage isn’t terribly efficient right now, but he does have 186 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown over those two games. It appears that he is in line to be the Chargers workhorse back for as long as Justin Jackson and Austin Ekeler are out. Jackson was just put on IR before last week’s game, so he will be out at least 2 more games. Joshua Kelley doesn’t seem to be a danger to take carries from anyone, and Austin Ekeler can only tell us “the time draws near”, as if he and Frodo are approaching Mordor. Troymaine Pope may be the best bet to take carries from Ballage, but Pope missed the last game with a concussion. The only thing that is certain is that the Chargers backfield is a mess.

Keelan Cole (WR-JAC) – Just a few years ago, Cole appeared to be the WR to own for the future of the Jaguars’ offense. Him and Blake Bortles were good buddies, going for 748 yards and 3 TDs in 2017 when he was an UDFA. But we haven’t heard from him since them. We have been hearing about guys like D.J. Chark and newly drafted rookie Laviska Shenault. Shenault has admittedly had a great start to the season, but after Gardner Minshew was injured and benched in favor of Jake Luton, Shenault had less success and then was taken out of the game with a hamstring injury in week 9. New QBs often result in chemistry and connections with new WRs, as we know, and in this case it looks like Keelan Cole is back in action, having been targeted 7 times in last week’s matchup against the Packers and coming down with 5 receptions for 47 yards and 1 TD. We’ll see if Luton remains under center for the rest of the season, but as long as he does it looks like Chark and Cole will be the targets of choice.

Welcome to Statistically (in)Significant, the place to find great stats that probably only matter at the water cooler (or bar). Each week I'll dig through the stats of the week gone by and deliver you some choice conversation starters. All fantasy stats are half PPR scoring unless otherwise noted.

48 Passing Attempts for Zero Points

Last night, Tom Brady was shut out for only the third time in his entire career. The last time his team did not score any points in a game he started was Week 14 of the 2006 season when the Patriots lost 21-0 in Miami. Fast forward 15 years and Brady had a hell of a streak finally snapped. Last night’s game was the first time in his career that his opponent won while scoring fewer than 10 points. In last week’s column, I gushed about Brady as he broke yet another NFL record, so this week I’m going to have some fun celebrating him having an atrocious game on a national broadcast. Everything is just more fun when Brady isn’t winning every damn thing around. Brady has only lost 73 games that he’s started, so it’s not as if we get to do this every day - but then again, that is over 4.5 seasons of losses, so how great is he really? Brady seems to struggle when New Orleans comes down to south Florida - in those two games with the Bucs, he has 0 touchdowns, 4 INTs, and a fumble. He’s been outscored 47-3 and has a meager 55.8% completion percentage. He is 0-4 against New Orleans in the regular season over the last two years. Brady is currently the QB22 of the week - there’s only 2 starting QBs so far this week that have done worse.

36.1 Fantasy Points

Travis Kelce had his best game in his long career on Thursday night against the Chargers. Kelce’s final stat line was 13 targets, 10 receptions, 191 receiving yards, 2 TDs. This makes him the top fantasy player so far through Week 15 - with 4 games still left to play this week, I feel like anything can happen. This performance is the 2nd best TE game we’ve seen all season, in Week 5, Mark Andrews scored 36.2 fantasy points. George Kittle also had a 35.1 point game a couple weeks ago, so I think we can declare the mid-30’s the Tight End ceiling in fantasy football. Kelce, who has played over 120 games in his career, reached his all-time high in receiving yards with 191 (previous high was 168) and he now has 29 games with 100 or more receiving yards. He also tied his career high with 2 TDs, he now has 8 games with multiple touchdowns. The tight end position was pretty top-heavy this week, with both Kelce and Andrews breaking the 30 point mark, but TEs 7-10 combined did not match Kelce’s point total. 

13% Owned in Fleaflicker Leagues

This week’s top RB (so far, yeah) is a player that none of us started last week. The only people claiming to have him in their lineups are Duke Johnson’s mother, and liars. That being said, I want to congratulate Duke’s mom on her fantasy football playoff victory, because Duke had a hell of a game. Posting a career high 107 rushing yards (his only game over 100 yards rushing), and only his second game with two touchdowns, Johnson propelled the Dolphins back to .500 with their sixth win a row (yes, they started 1-7, if you’re counting). Duke has played in 93 NFL games, a rather respectable number for a guy who has never been a regular starter. His 107 rushing yards yesterday are 5.2% of his career total, and he scored 20% of his career rushing TDs! Duke saw 23 touches while only being on the field for 58% of Miami’s offensive snaps, so he could easily supplant the disappointing Miles Gaskin as the RB1 on the Dolphins. Unfortunately for Duke, his next two opponents will be the teams giving up the fewest (Saints) and second fewest (Titans) points to opposing RBs.

14% Owned in Fleaflicker Leagues

For an encore, let’s have a look at the QB1 of the week, who maybe a few of us started since he would have been a smart superflex fill-in. That being said, we’re going to need some proof if you want credit for starting him! Tyler Huntley told the Ravens, “No Lamar, no problem!” and proceeded to do his best Lamar Jackson impression with 28 completions on 40 attempts for 213 yards, 2 TDs through the air, another 13 rushes for 73 yards on the ground and 2 more TDs, good for 35.9 fantasy points. Huntley now has started or played significant time in 3 games this season and is on a definite upward trend, scoring 11.76 (Wk 11 @ CHI), 15.30 (Wk 14 @ CLE), and 35.90 (Wk 15 vs GB). Each of those three games, he has a completion percentage over 70% and has won, or had a chance to win at the end, each of those games. This year is Huntley’s first chance to get real playing time in a game, and he’s shown that he’s definitely more than just a backup level quarterback. If another team wants to design an offense around him, like the Ravens did for Lamar Jackson, I could see him getting snatched up as a starting QB as early as next year.

170 Rushing Yards

Jonathan Taylor had yet another massive game this season, this time against one of the best defensive minds ever in football, Bill Belichick. Taylor posted the highest rushing total and most fantasy points given up by the New England Patriots all season, with 170 yards on 29 carries and 1 TD, good for 23 points. Saturday night for Taylor was punctuated by a 67 yard rushing TD to close out the game when there was just about 2 minutes left in the 4th quarter. This season, Taylor owns the longest rush in the NFL at 83 yards, and the longest rushing TD in the NFL with 76 yards. He leads the league in rushing attempts (270), rushing yards (1,518), rushing TDs (17), yards from scrimmage (1,854), and total TDs (19). It’s all the more impressive when you consider his slow start to the season. In the first 5 games, he was not on the field for more than 55% of the snaps in any of those games, averaged 65.4 yards per game in that stretch, and scored only 2 TDs. Taylor, the 4th-highest scoring fantasy player in 2021, is in the MVP discussion, and is inching ever close to the lead there with Brady’s performance on Sunday night.