After this weekend's group of games, we will already be a quarter of the way through the NFL regular season. It's definitely the fastest and most exciting four months of the year, so make sure you're ready every week to play your winning picks. And remember, if you wait until the end of the week to make your picks(as I do), the lines may change out of your favor in a certain game(s). If that happens, feel free to move those lines up to a point and a half in either direction depending on your battle plans. I wouldn't wager anywhere that wouldn't let me adjust the numbers to at least a minimal degree. Most places taking action would rather not have you move the lines and risk taking what is offered. You'd be surprised at how little, shaving or adding a point and a half reduces your potential earnings. Definitely an option to think about when it comes to winning those parlays.

NICK'S PICKS:

NEP -7.5  The Pats will be taking on the Bills in this intriguing AFC East matchup. And even though I thought Buffalo had somewhat of a shot at the division title before the regular season started, New England's defense has been telling me otherwise. I don't think this spread is too high, even with this being a division rivalry with the Patriots playing on the road. Once they do lose, and/ or come back down to Earth, is when I'll scrutinize the data a little bit closer on future lines, and start hating Tom Brady again at my high level.

KC -6.5  Detroit's defense may be better than KC's, but we know this game is coming down to the offense and how many TDs Patrick Mahomes will throw. I mean, at the way the Chiefs score, they just have to pull off a ten point victory you would think. And I would think that's at the bottom of the spectrum. KC has the hottest offense, so go ahead... play with fire.

BAL -7  Okay, this is a game that I'm taking down half a point to -6.5. The only thing I'm really liking about the Brown's offense is Nick Chubb. They are on the road against a Raven's team that has one of the strongest running games in the league, as well as an emerging star in Lamar Jackson, a known 'run first' QB who is starting to develop quite an arm in his second year in the league. Baltimore's defense is pretty solid and the only tangible I can see making this one close, is because it's a division game.

NICK'S NIX PICKS(stay away from these games if you like your $$$):

(PHI +4 / GB -4)  Aaron Rodgers needs to live up to the hype of his mustache.

(WAS +2.5 / NYG -2.5)  Daniel Jones will need to live up to the rookie hype for the second straight week.

(MIN +2.5 / CHI -2.5)  A battle between good defenses and below average QBs.

(DAL -2.5 / NOS +2.5)  Another great defensive battle. Who is the game's leading rusher... Alvin Kamara or Ezekiel Elliot?

NICK'S ULTRA MONEYLINE PARLAY PICKS:

(LAC -990 / NEP -327 / KC -293)

(BAL -300 / LAR -431 / SEA -239)

CON-MAN CONFIDENCE(you can't get what I'm selling anywhere else):

* = Winner

LAC* - 16 - MIA

KCC* - 15 - DET

CLE - 14 - BAL*

SEA* - 13 - ARI

TBB - 12 - LAR*

OAK -11 - IND*

NEP* - 10 - BUF

CAR - 09 - HOU*

WAS - 08 - NYG*

CIN - 07 - PIT*

TEN - 06 - ATL*

PHI - 05 - GBP*

DAL* - 04 - NOS

JAX - 03 - DEN*

MIN* - 02 - CHI