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And what a difference a week makes!

Last week, we had a decent amount of games that were sure fire picks. This week, we have a LOT more games that are pick’em’s to say the least!

Well, last week a few too many “sure fire’s” were apparently not that sure a thing…maybe more toss-up’s will mean more correct picks this week!

Week 4 – HERE WE GO!!!!

(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

16 – SAN FRANCISCO over Arizona – When you are a team that looks unbeatable, a home game against the Cardinals is not necessarily something to be worried about.

15 – Kansas City over NEW YORK JETS – Aaron Rodgers being replaced on this Sunday Night Football broadcast by Taylor Swift probably won’t help the Jets too much.

14 – DALLAS over New England – Losing to Arizona last week only upset the Cowboys defense. My BOLD PREDICTION for this week is that THE COWBOYS DEFENSE WILL SHUTOUT THE PATRIOTS WITH AT LEAST FIVE SACKS, TWO ITERCEPTIONS, A FUMBLE RECOVERY.

13 – PHILADELPHIA over Washington – I said the Eagles were going to be better than they were last year … I was right.

12 – LOS ANGELES CHARGERS over Las Vegas – I can verify that Raiders fans are already looking at 2024 Mock Drafts.

11 – NEW YORK GIANTS over Seattle – The Giants still win if Saquon doesn’t play here…but drop them down below the five point line

10 – Baltimore over CLEVELAND – Take the over on this one.

9 – Minnesota over CAROLINA – I just can’t see the Vikings starting the season 0-4…can you?

8 – GREEN BAY over Detroit – It will be interesting to see how Jordan Love responds to the national spotlight.

7 – INDIANAPOLIS over Los Angeles Rams – Id’ say drop the Colts down a few if Richardson doesn’t play again…but it didn’t seem to matter last week.

6 – BUFFALO over Miami – This is just going to be fun to watch!

5 – NEW ORLEANS over Tampa Bay – I’m not saying that Jameis Winston went to the locker room kicking Derek Carr so he could play against Tampa this week … buuuut I’m not NOT saying it either.

4 – HOUSTON over Pittsburgh – I feel legally and morally obligated to pick Houston to win after picking them to lose in the 16 point slot last week.

3 – Atlanta over JACKSONVILLE – And on that note, I feel the same about picking the Jags to lose after picking them to win in the 16 point slot last week.

2 – Cincinnati over TENNESSEE – This was a playoff matchup not too long ago…just gonna leave that there…

1 – CHICAGO over Denver – I don’t care who you pick, just keep it on this line – neither team deserves to be higher than the one point line

If you haven’t noticed by now, we are in the thick of a time that plays a role in the confidence pool, especially season-long pools – bye weeks!

This can play big in your season long pools. If you have had a solid start and are sitting comfortably towards the top of the standings, you are loving bye weeks as the top numbers aren’t in play! You can’t have 15 and 16 point games where there are only 14 games played in a week!

On the flip side, if you need to make up ground, you need to make sure you hit as many picks as you can in a week.

Lucky for you, you’re reading my picks, so you’re good to go ?

Week 6 – HERE WE GO!!!!

(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

15 – KANSAS CITY over Denver – A week of dramatic, close, competitive NFL games … … … will begin on Sunday, not Thursday.

14 – MIAMI over Carolina – Welcome to the league, Bryce! We need 64 points from you this week.

13 – BUFFALO over New York Giants – An easy way for the Bills to transition into a season without Matt Milano is to play the Giants

12 – Philadelphia over NEW YORK JETS – Another nationally televised game based on a quarterback who won’t be playing.

11 – LOS ANGELES RAMS over Arizona – The Rams offense seemed pretty tough BEFORE Cooper Kupp came back.

10 – JACKSONVILLE over Indianapolis – The Colts don’t win in Jacksonville, and that’s even when they have the better team!

9 – Baltimore over TENNESSEE – I feel that the London crowd will be offended by player nicknamed King Henry crowd so the refs will lean towards the Ravens.

8 – San Francisco over CLEVELAND – Hard to see picking against the 9ers in any situation at this point.

7 – LAS VEGAS over New England – Hopefully the Raiders will keep the ball out of Jakobi Meyeres if the game is close late.

6 – LOS ANGELES CHARGERS over Dallas – How quickly has the allure of the Cowboys disappeared?

5 – New Orleans over HOUSTON – The Saints just seem to find a way to win

4 – ATLANTA over Washington – It’s a home game so obviously you can’t go against Desmond Ridder!

3 – CINCINNATI over Seattle – OK, I’m back with the Bengals. My BOLD PREDICTION of the week is that even with the slow start, THE BENGALS WILL WIN THE AFC NORTH.

2 – TAMPA BAY over Detroit – This could be a surprisingly fun game

1 – CHICAGO over Minnesota – If you think the Bears will win at all this season, keep it on the one-point linen

Random observation here …

We have a bit of an anomaly this week. Throughout most of the season we have to deal with bye weeks. Whether it is our fantasy teams or not being able to get more points in a week of a confidence pool, we have to deal with a stretch of the season where someone won’t be playing.

This week though, in the heart of it all, guess who has a bye week … … … bye weeks!

Yes, all 32 teams will be taking the field this weekend. It’s a good thing, too – after the last couple of weeks, we need more points!

Week 8 – HERE WE GO!!!!

(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

16 – MIAMI over New England – The Patriots won a game they shouldn’t have last week – won’t happen two weeks in a row.

15 – BUFFALO over Tampa Bay – Buffalo will happily use the national stage for a “get right” game

14 – DETROIT over Las Vegas – Fire Josh McDaniels

13 – SEATTLE over Cleveland – The Brows just aren’t allowed to be on a roll for this long – it ends in Seattle

12 – LOS ANGELES CHARGERS – Khalil Mack had six sacks against the Raiders, a former team, a few weeks ago…just gonna leave that there

11 – Kansas City over DENVER – The only reason this is not the 16 point game is that its in Denver

10 – SAN FRANCISCO over Cincinnati – Keep an eye on the Brock Purdy situation – if he can’t go, drop the 9ers way down…maybe even take the Bengals.

9 – Baltimore over ARIZONA – The Cardinals have made it a little harder to say this – My BOLD PREDICTION for this week is that THE CARDINALS WILL HAVE THE FIRST PICK IN THE 2024 NFL DRAFT.

8 – DALLAS over Los Angeles Rams – Micah Parsons vs Aaron Donald … enjoy!

7 – New Orleans over INDIANAPOLIS – I see a big game from Derek Carr here – at least 300 yards.

6 – Minnesota over GREEN BAY – To quote the great Dennis Green – Jordan Love is indeed who we thought he was.

5 – CAROLINA over Houston – Bryce Young was just waiting to play #2 pick CJ Stroud for the first time to get his first win … … … is the denial that he is going with.

4 – Atlanta over TENNESSEE – I can’t really figure the Falcons out this season…but in a good way,

3 – WASHINGTON over Philadelphia – Hunch…and hunches stay low on our list.

2 – PITTSBURGH over Jacksonville – This just seems like a game the Steelers can pull out.

1 – NEW YORK JETS over New York Giants – I’d give the standard “New York Bragging Rights” comment here, but is anyone in New York bragging over either team?

Oh this is gonna be an interesting week for sure.

Looking down the list of games and there aren’t too many, if any, no-brainers! The Browns are sitting on the second highest line this week … … … need I say more?? So this could be a make or break week for us.

No point in delaying the inevitable any longer, let’s get going!

Week 9 – HERE WE GO!!!!

(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

14 – BALTIMORE over Seattle – Baltimore has been playing with a purpose lately and will be hard to beat down the stretch.

13 – CLEVELAND over Arizona – Again, the Browns being this high should tell you enough about the state of the Cardinals right now.

12 – NEW ORLEANS over Chicago – Looks for Derek Carr to go off in this one. My BOLD PREDICTION for this week is that DEREK CARR WILL THROW FOR AT LEAST 375 YARDS AND 3 TOUCHDOWNS THIS WEEKi.

11 – LAS VEGAS over New York Giants – Safe to say the Raiders will be playing with a new sense of hope this week!

10 – Washington over NEW ENGLAND – The Commanders are 3-5 but could very well be 6-2 at this point.

9 – PHILADELPHIA over Dallas – This will be the first of two home team winning matchups this season for these two.

8 – Los Angeles Chargers over NEW YORK JETS – This is your Monday Night game…enjoy!

7 – HOUSTON over Tampa Bay – The Texans are an intriguing team that I just don’t think Tampa can handle

6 – ATLANTA over Minnesota – Atlanta is catching the Vikings at the perfect time!

5 – CICINNATI over Buffalo – Sunday is going to end with a fun one if the Bengals keep playing the way they have been.

4 – Miami over KANSAS CITY (in Germany) – This should definitely generate a lot of interest in Europe!

3 – Tennessee over PITTSBURGH – A road game against the Steelers defense will be a solid test to the legitimacy of Will Levis.

2 – GREEN BAY over Los Angeles Rams – No Stafford, no win – that simple,

1 – Indianapolis over CAROLINA –This game lost a LOT of interest when Anthony Richardson went down.